Red flags⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution
About Welltower Inc.
Welltower is a real estate investment trust that owns health care and senior living properties, including senior housing communities, outpatient medical buildings and some long-term care facilities. It earns income from rents and from operating partnerships in which residents pay for housing and care. The company invests in properties across North America and the United Kingdom, and its results are linked to demographic trends and occupancy at its communities.
Trailing twelve-month revenue stands at $11.8 billion, while revenue grew by 22.7% a year over the past three years. The company pays a dividend, and the yield is 1.3%. On the X-Ray Score, it is rated 48 out of 100.
52-wk range $174.72 – $255.20Volume 2,349,979Daily, split-adjusted
Vitals
Market cap$172.4B
52-week range$174.72 – $255.20
Volume (last day)2,349,979
P/E (TTM)114.4
EBIT / EV yield–
Free-cash-flow yield–
Dividend yield1.3%
Revenue (TTM)$11.8B
Net income (TTM)$1.4B
Operating margin–
Return on capital–
Debt incl. leases$19.5B
Cash & securities$4.7B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies that hold large long-term investments). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$234middle half of models $184 – $223
Fair−1.5% to fair value
Average of the 5 valuation models that pass our checks: multiples, discounted cash flow, dividend discount and earnings power value. A model more than 100% above or 60% below the price is left out as unrealistic. Model uncertainty is Medium, based on how far apart the models are. Undervalued or Overvalued means the gap to fair value is more than 17.5%.
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.13%, equity risk premium 4.30% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means
Average business, fairly priced
The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.
Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.
The five-lens scan
Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Real Estate peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.
Strong: 70 to 100Fair: 50 to 69Weak: under 50No score: not enough data
ValuationWeak
12/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
Fair value vs price1.0×
GrowthStrong
91/100
Growing faster than most of its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)22.7%
EPS growth (3y)66.7%
Growth consistency100%
ProfitabilityWeak
35/100
Earns lower returns on its capital than most peers.
See the numbers →
Gross profitability7.0%
Financial healthFair
69/100
Balance sheet is in typical shape for its sector.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score7 / 9
DividendsWeak
41/100
Dividend is modest or less certain than peers.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield1.3%
Dividend growth18.4%
Quarterly results: last 6 quarters
+28.6%Dec '24
+30.3%Mar '25
+39.6%Jun '25
+30.6%Sep '25
+41.3%Dec '25
+38.3%Mar '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $3.4B, diluted EPS $1.02.
Revenue has grown 22.7% a year over three years (median 6.6% for sector peers).
Earnings per share have compounded at 66.7% a year over three years.
Passes 7 of the 9 Piotroski tests, which points to improving profitability, funding and efficiency.
Weaknessesinside the company
No clear weakness in the figures we track.
Opportunitiesvaluation and setting
Revenue growth picked up to 35.6% last year from 22.7% a year over three years.
Price momentum is strong on the weekly and monthly signals (trends can reverse).
Threatsvaluation and setting
Trades at 120.4x earnings, 277% above the 31.9x median of sector peers, so the price already assumes better results.
Our Market Compass rates the backdrop for Real Estate as unfavourable.
Our checks raised: Heavy dilution; Heavy dilution.
Written by fixed rules from the figures on this page and the peer table below: filings, our fair value, the sector climate and the price trend. It summarises the data, it is not a forecast or advice.
Compare WELL with peers and sector
Medians of 28 Real Estate peers and of 28 Real Estate stocks in our universe.
Largest peers (X-Ray Score): PLD43, EQIX51, AMT53, SPG42, DLR37, PSA52.
Metric
WELL
Peers
Sector
X-Ray Score (out of 100)
48
52
52
Valuation
12
53
53
Growth
90
56
56
Profitability
35
53
53
Financial health
69
53
53
Dividends
41
48
48
Sector leaders: highest X-Ray Score in Real Estate
WELL ranks #17 of 29 in Real Estate by X-Ray Score. A higher score is stronger on our five pillars; it is a ranking of facts, not a forecast.
Green means better than the peer median, red worse (only where a higher or lower figure is clearly better). A dash means too few companies report the figure. P/E, EV/EBITDA and price changes are not graded: a different level is not good or bad by itself.
Factor ratings for WELL
Each factor is rated by where WELL stands among the 29 Real Estate stocks in our universe.
Rating against the sector
Goodthe top third of these stocks
Averagethe middle third of these stocks
Badthe bottom third of these stocks
"Beats" is the share of those stocks it is ahead of.
Against its own history
The last columns set today's figure against the company's own median of its last five financial years:
▲ Betterbetter than its usual level
▼ Worseworse than its usual level
≈ In linewithin its usual range
For valuation factors Good means cheaper than most of the sector and Better means cheaper than usual for this company, which is not the same as a bargain.
In total: 4 Good · 2 Average · 7 Bad of 13Growth: 3 · 0 · 0Profitability: 0 · 1 · 2Financial strength: 1 · 0 · 0Valuation: 0 · 0 · 3Cash flow: 0 · 1 · 2
Factor
WELL
Rating
Sector median
Own 5-year median
Against own history
Growth
Revenue growth, 3 years a year
+22.7%
Goodbeats 98%
+6.8%
–
–
Revenue growth, last year
+35.6%
Goodbeats 98%
+5.1%
+20.4%
▲ Better
EPS growth, 3 years a year
+66.7%
Goodbeats 98%
−1.9%
–
–
Profitability
Gross margin
39.8%
Averagebeats 40%
47.1%
40.1%
≈ In line
Net margin
12.2%
Badbeats 29%
21.5%
7.1%
▲ Better
Return on equity
3.3%
Badbeats 17%
7.3%
1.9%
≈ In line
Financial strength
Piotroski F-score
7 / 9
Goodbeats 69%
6 / 9
–
–
Valuation
P/E ratio
120.4x
Badbeats 9%
32.1x
134.6x
▲ Better
Price / book
3.9x
Badbeats 21%
2.6x
2.1x
▼ Worse
Price / sales
14.7x
Badbeats 2%
7.0x
7.7x
▼ Worse
Cash flow
Free cash flow margin
25.1%
Badbeats 16%
44.6%
26.6%
≈ In line
Cash from operations / net income
2.06
Averagebeats 59%
1.91
3.79
▼ Worse
Accruals (lower is better)
−2.3%
Badbeats 22%
−3.7%
–
–
These ratings compare companies with each other and describe the past; they are not a forecast, a recommendation or part of the X-Ray Score. A factor is left out when its data is missing or meaningless (for example a P/E on negative earnings). A dash in the history columns means fewer than three usable years.
Fundamentals checklist
● 4 Good · ● 0 Average · ● 3 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashBad
Risk models
Piotroski F-ScoreGood
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Good
Revenue growth (3y)Good
Growth consistencyGood
Balance sheet
Valuation
Fair value vs priceBad
Profitability
Gross profitabilityBad
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 39/100.
Financials
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY25
Revenue
$4.7B
$5.9B
$6.6B
$8.0B
$10.8B
Operating income
$661M
$703M
$958M
$524M
–
Net income
$336M
$141M
$340M
$952M
$937M
Operating cash flow
$1.3B
$1.3B
$1.6B
$2.3B
$2.9B
Operating margin
13.9%
12.0%
14.4%
6.6%
–
Free cash flow
–
–
–
–
–
Diluted EPS
$0.78
$0.30
$0.66
$1.57
$1.39
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.
Technical summary
Daily
Strongly bullish
12 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bullish
11 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bullish
7 bullish · 0 neutral · 1 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10
233.1
Bullish
EMA 10
233.5
Bullish
SMA 20
230.3
Bullish
EMA 20
232.2
Bullish
SMA 50
233.7
Bullish
EMA 50
232.0
Bullish
SMA 100
230.1
Bullish
EMA 100
228.1
Bullish
SMA 200
216.1
Bullish
EMA 200
216.3
Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)
58.28
Neutral
MACD (12, 26)
0.91
Bullish
Momentum (12)
5.15
Bullish
Stochastic %K (14)
89.46
Bearish
Williams %R (14)
-10.54
Bearish
CCI (20)
102.9
Bearish
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
231.0
S2
232.6
S1
235.0
Pivot
236.6
R1
239.0
R2
240.7
R3
243.1
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.
Dividends
Paid, last 12 months
3.07 USD
Yield on today's price
1.29%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
Ex-dividend date
Amount per share
0.8500
0.7400
0.7400
0.7400
0.7400
0.6700
0.6700
0.6700
0.6700
0.6100
0.6100
0.6100
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.
The eight funds with the largest weight in WELL among the ETFs we cover, from each fund's latest SEC Form N-PORT (quarter-end positions, so they can be months old). All ETFs.