Red flags⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution
About Ventas, Inc.
Ventas is a real estate investment trust that owns health care properties, with senior housing communities as its core business. Its portfolio also includes medical office buildings, life science and research buildings, and hospitals, and it works with operators who run many of the communities. Tenants and residents include senior living operators, health systems, universities and research companies, and older adults who live in its communities.
Revenue comes from rent and from resident fees at senior housing communities. It was $6.4 billion over the last twelve months, with growth of 12.2% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 13.0%, and the business earns a profit of 5% on the capital invested in it. Net debt is 0.1 times EBITDA. The dividend yield is 2.3%. On the site's X-Ray Score it receives 45 out of 100.
52-wk range $68.15 – $101.60Volume 2,752,092Daily, split-adjusted
Vitals
Market cap$43.3B
52-week range$68.15 – $101.60
Volume (last day)2,752,092
P/E (TTM)152.2
EBIT / EV yield1.9%
Free-cash-flow yield–
Dividend yield2.3%
Revenue (TTM)$6.4B
Net income (TTM)$273M
Operating margin13.0%
Return on capital5.1%
Debt incl. leases$496M
Cash & securities$199M
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies that hold large long-term investments). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$80middle half of models $78 – $83
Fair−7.8% to fair value
Average of the 4 valuation models that pass our checks: multiples, discounted cash flow, dividend discount and earnings power value. A model more than 100% above or 60% below the price is left out as unrealistic. Model uncertainty is Medium, based on how far apart the models are. Undervalued or Overvalued means the gap to fair value is more than 17.5%.
Price $87
Undervalued < $68Fair $68 – $97Overvalued > $97
P/B multiple
$74
P/S multiple
$85
P/FFO multiple
$83
P/AFFO multiple
$79
Dividend discount, multi-stage · not used
$257
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.13%, equity risk premium 4.30% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means
Average business, fairly priced
The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.
Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.
The five-lens scan
Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Real Estate peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.
Strong: 70 to 100Fair: 50 to 69Weak: under 50No score: not enough data
ValuationWeak
7/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield1.9%
Fair value vs price0.9×
GrowthStrong
79/100
Growing faster than most of its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)12.2%
Growth consistency100%
ProfitabilityWeak
47/100
Earns lower returns on its capital than most peers.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital5.1%
Operating margin13.0%
Financial healthFair
66/100
Balance sheet is in typical shape for its sector.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score8 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA0.1×
Interest cover1.3×
DividendsWeak
27/100
Dividend is modest or less certain than peers.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield2.3%
Dividend growth6.1%
Quarterly results: last 6 quarters
+13.2%Mar '25
+18.3%Jun '25
+20.4%Sep '25
+21.7%Dec '25
+22.0%Mar '26
+21.7%Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $1.7B, diluted EPS $0.14.
Revenue has grown 12.2% a year over three years (median 6.6% for sector peers).
Net debt is only 0.1x EBITDA.
Passes 8 of the 9 Piotroski tests, which points to improving profitability, funding and efficiency.
Weaknessesinside the company
Return on invested capital is only 5.1% (median 7.7% for sector peers), so the business earns little above its cost of capital.
Operating margin of 13.0% is thin against 36.0% for sector peers.
Operating profit covers interest only 1.3x.
Opportunitiesvaluation and setting
Revenue growth picked up to 18.5% last year from 12.2% a year over three years.
Threatsvaluation and setting
Trades at 158.6x earnings, 397% above the 31.9x median of sector peers, so the price already assumes better results.
Our Market Compass rates the backdrop for Real Estate as unfavourable.
Our checks raised: Heavy dilution; Heavy dilution.
Written by fixed rules from the figures on this page and the peer table below: filings, our fair value, the sector climate and the price trend. It summarises the data, it is not a forecast or advice.
Compare VTR with peers and sector
Medians of 28 Real Estate peers and of 28 Real Estate stocks in our universe.
Largest peers (X-Ray Score): WELL48, PLD43, EQIX51, AMT53, SPG42, DLR37.
Metric
VTR
Peers
Sector
X-Ray Score (out of 100)
45
52
52
Valuation
7
53
53
Growth
79
56
56
Profitability
47
53
53
Financial health
66
53
53
Dividends
27
48
48
Sector leaders: highest X-Ray Score in Real Estate
VTR ranks #23 of 29 in Real Estate by X-Ray Score. A higher score is stronger on our five pillars; it is a ranking of facts, not a forecast.
Green means better than the peer median, red worse (only where a higher or lower figure is clearly better). A dash means too few companies report the figure. P/E, EV/EBITDA and price changes are not graded: a different level is not good or bad by itself.
Factor ratings for VTR
Each factor is rated by where VTR stands among the 29 Real Estate stocks in our universe.
Rating against the sector
Goodthe top third of these stocks
Averagethe middle third of these stocks
Badthe bottom third of these stocks
"Beats" is the share of those stocks it is ahead of.
Against its own history
The last columns set today's figure against the company's own median of its last five financial years:
▲ Betterbetter than its usual level
▼ Worseworse than its usual level
≈ In linewithin its usual range
For valuation factors Good means cheaper than most of the sector and Better means cheaper than usual for this company, which is not the same as a bargain.
In total: 7 Good · 2 Average · 8 Bad of 17Growth: 2 · 0 · 0Profitability: 0 · 0 · 4Financial strength: 2 · 0 · 1Valuation: 0 · 2 · 2Cash flow: 2 · 0 · 1Efficiency: 1 · 0 · 0
Factor
VTR
Rating
Sector median
Own 5-year median
Against own history
Growth
Revenue growth, 3 years a year
+12.2%
Goodbeats 78%
+6.8%
–
–
Revenue growth, last year
+18.5%
Goodbeats 91%
+5.1%
+8.9%
▲ Better
Profitability
Operating margin
13.0%
Badbeats 19%
34.3%
10.2%
▲ Better
Net margin
4.2%
Badbeats 12%
21.5%
1.5%
▲ Better
Return on invested capital
5.1%
Badbeats 27%
7.5%
–
–
Return on equity
1.9%
Badbeats 10%
7.3%
0.5%
≈ In line
Financial strength
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Goodbeats 92%
4.6x
7.0x
▲ Better
Interest cover
1.3x
Badbeats 2%
3.4x
0.8x
≈ In line
Piotroski F-score
8 / 9
Goodbeats 91%
6 / 9
–
–
Valuation
P/E ratio
158.6x
Badbeats 5%
32.1x
277.5x
▲ Better
Price / book
3.0x
Badbeats 33%
2.6x
2.1x
▼ Worse
Price / sales
6.7x
Averagebeats 53%
7.0x
5.0x
▼ Worse
EV / EBITDA
18.7x
Averagebeats 48%
18.6x
20.1x
≈ In line
Cash flow
Free cash flow margin
28.0%
Badbeats 22%
44.6%
-20.3%
▲ Better
Cash from operations / net income
6.60
Goodbeats 95%
1.91
15.05
▼ Worse
Accruals (lower is better)
−5.2%
Goodbeats 74%
−3.7%
–
–
Efficiency
Days sales outstanding
6 days
Goodbeats 95%
53 days
6 days
≈ In line
These ratings compare companies with each other and describe the past; they are not a forecast, a recommendation or part of the X-Ray Score. A factor is left out when its data is missing or meaningless (for example a P/E on negative earnings). A dash in the history columns means fewer than three usable years.
Fundamentals checklist
● 5 Good · ● 0 Average · ● 5 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashGood
Risk models
Piotroski F-ScoreGood
Growth
Revenue growth (3y)Good
Growth consistencyGood
Balance sheet
Net debt / EBITDAGood
Interest coverBad
Valuation
Fair value vs priceBad
EBIT / EV yieldBad
Profitability
Return on invested capitalBad
Operating marginBad
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 48/100.
Financials
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY25
Revenue
$3.8B
$4.1B
$4.5B
$4.9B
$5.8B
Operating income
$278M
$373M
$459M
$595M
$817M
Net income
$57M
−$41M
−$30M
$88M
$262M
Operating cash flow
$1.0B
$1.1B
$1.1B
$1.3B
$1.6B
Operating margin
7.3%
9.0%
10.2%
12.1%
14.0%
Free cash flow
−$776M
$219M
$470M
−$1.2B
−$1.3B
Diluted EPS
$0.13
$-0.12
$-0.10
$0.19
$0.54
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.
Technical summary
Daily
Bullish
9 bullish · 2 neutral · 5 bearish
Weekly
Bullish
7 bullish · 1 neutral · 4 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bullish
7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10
84.78
Bullish
EMA 10
85.14
Bullish
SMA 20
84.23
Bullish
EMA 20
85.11
Bullish
SMA 50
87.61
Bearish
EMA 50
86.66
Bullish
SMA 100
88.30
Bearish
EMA 100
86.99
Bullish
SMA 200
85.37
Bullish
EMA 200
84.30
Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)
55.75
Neutral
MACD (12, 26)
-0.40
Bearish
Momentum (12)
6.27
Bullish
Stochastic %K (14)
96.88
Bearish
Williams %R (14)
-3.12
Bearish
CCI (20)
93.92
Neutral
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
83.87
S2
84.58
S1
85.79
Pivot
86.50
R1
87.71
R2
88.42
R3
89.63
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.
Dividends
Paid, last 12 months
2.04 USD
Yield on today's price
2.35%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
Ex-dividend date
Amount per share
0.5200
0.5200
0.5200
0.4800
0.4800
0.4800
0.4800
0.4500
0.4500
0.4500
0.4500
0.4500
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.
The eight funds with the largest weight in VTR among the ETFs we cover, from each fund's latest SEC Form N-PORT (quarter-end positions, so they can be months old). All ETFs.