Red flags⚠ Dividend may be at risk⚠ Dividend may be at risk⚠ Dividend may be at risk⚠ Dividend may be at risk⚠ Dividend may be at risk
About Constellation Energy Corp
Constellation Energy generates and supplies electricity from a fleet built around nuclear power that also includes natural gas, hydro, wind and solar plants. It supplies energy to businesses, utilities, government bodies and homes across the United States, and offers clean energy products and services to large customers. It was formed when Exelon separated its generation and retail business from its utility companies.
Revenue comes from power supplied under contracts and on wholesale markets, plus retail electricity and natural gas supply and related energy services. In the last twelve months it was $31.3 billion, growing at 1.5% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 14.7%, and the business earns a profit of 6% on the capital invested in it. It has net debt of 2.9 times EBITDA. A dividend is paid, with a yield of 0.7%. On the site's X-Ray Score it receives 49 out of 100.
52-wk range $228.63 – $406.04Volume 3,964,628Daily, split-adjusted
Vitals
Market cap$91.9B
52-week range$228.63 – $406.04
Volume (last day)3,964,628
P/E (TTM)24.7
EBIT / EV yield4.0%
Free-cash-flow yield0.3%
Dividend yield0.7%
Revenue (TTM)$31.3B
Net income (TTM)$3.5B
Operating margin14.7%
Return on capital5.7%
Debt incl. leases$24.7B
Cash & securities$697M
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies that hold large long-term investments). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$252middle half of models $212 – $302
Fair−1.4% to fair value
Average of the 14 valuation models that pass our checks: multiples, discounted cash flow, dividend discount and earnings power value. A model more than 100% above or 60% below the price is left out as unrealistic. Model uncertainty is High, based on how far apart the models are. Undervalued or Overvalued means the gap to fair value is more than 17.5%.
Peak-cycle earnings: the current operating margin is more than 1.5x its 7-year average, so multiples applied to today's profit may overstate value; model uncertainty is set to High
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.13%, equity risk premium 4.30% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means
Average business, fairly priced
The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.
Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.
The five-lens scan
Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Utilities peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.
Strong: 70 to 100Fair: 50 to 69Weak: under 50No score: not enough data
ValuationWeak
49/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield4.0%
Free-cash-flow yield0.3%
Fair value vs price1.0×
GrowthWeak
44/100
Growing slower than most of its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)1.5%
Growth consistency80%
ProfitabilityWeak
31/100
Earns lower returns on its capital than most peers.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital5.7%
Operating margin14.7%
Financial healthStrong
80/100
Balance sheet looks strong: debt is well covered.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score6 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA2.9×
Interest cover5.9×
DividendsWeak
43/100
Dividend is modest or less certain than peers.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield0.7%
Dividends vs free cash flow194%
Dividend growth38.0%
Quarterly results: last 6 quarters
+10.2%Mar '25
+11.4%Jun '25
+0.3%Sep '25
+12.9%Dec '25
+63.8%Mar '26
+23.0%Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $7.5B, diluted EPS $1.42.
Other Electric Utilities companies by X-Ray Score.
SWOT analysis: Constellation Energy Corp
Strengthsinside the company
No standout strength in the figures we track.
Weaknessesinside the company
Return on invested capital is only 5.7% (median 5.5% for industry peers), so the business earns little above its cost of capital.
Altman Z-score of 1.5 is in the zone linked with financial distress in past studies.
Opportunitiesvaluation and setting
Revenue growth picked up to 8.3% last year from 1.5% a year over three years.
Threatsvaluation and setting
Valuation uncertainty is high: the models give widely different values, so the fair value range is wide.
Our Market Compass rates the backdrop for Utilities as unfavourable.
The price trend is down on the daily and weekly signals.
Our checks raised: Dividend may be at risk; Dividend may be at risk.
Written by fixed rules from the figures on this page and the peer table below: filings, our fair value, the sector climate and the price trend. It summarises the data, it is not a forecast or advice.
Compare CEG with peers and sector
Medians of 14 Electric Utilities peers and of 30 Utilities stocks in our universe.
Largest peers (X-Ray Score): SO45, DUK58, AEP58, ETR43, VST53, EXC62.
Metric
CEG
Peers
Sector
X-Ray Score (out of 100)
49
52
51
Valuation
49
49
49
Growth
44
58
53
Profitability
30
56
50
Financial health
80
52
51
Dividends
43
53
55
Sector leaders: highest X-Ray Score in Utilities
CEG ranks #17 of 31 in Utilities and #10 of 15 in Electric Utilities by X-Ray Score. A higher score is stronger on our five pillars; it is a ranking of facts, not a forecast.
Green means better than the peer median, red worse (only where a higher or lower figure is clearly better). A dash means too few companies report the figure. P/E, EV/EBITDA and price changes are not graded: a different level is not good or bad by itself.
Factor ratings for CEG
Each factor is rated by where CEG stands among the 31 Utilities stocks in our universe.
Rating against the sector
Goodthe top third of these stocks
Averagethe middle third of these stocks
Badthe bottom third of these stocks
"Beats" is the share of those stocks it is ahead of.
Against its own history
The last columns set today's figure against the company's own median of its last five financial years:
▲ Betterbetter than its usual level
▼ Worseworse than its usual level
≈ In linewithin its usual range
For valuation factors Good means cheaper than most of the sector and Better means cheaper than usual for this company, which is not the same as a bargain.
In total: 5 Good · 7 Average · 7 Bad of 19Growth: 0 · 2 · 0Profitability: 1 · 1 · 2Financial strength: 3 · 1 · 0Valuation: 1 · 2 · 2Cash flow: 0 · 1 · 2Efficiency: 0 · 0 · 1
Factor
CEG
Rating
Sector median
Own 5-year median
Against own history
Growth
Revenue growth, 3 years a year
+1.5%
Averagebeats 38%
+3.4%
–
–
Revenue growth, last year
+8.3%
Averagebeats 35%
+9.6%
+8.3%
≈ In line
Profitability
Operating margin
14.7%
Badbeats 8%
22.9%
6.5%
▲ Better
Net margin
11.1%
Badbeats 22%
14.4%
6.5%
▲ Better
Return on invested capital
5.7%
Goodbeats 73%
5.5%
–
–
Return on equity
10.8%
Averagebeats 63%
10.1%
14.9%
▼ Worse
Financial strength
Net debt / EBITDA
2.9x
Goodbeats 95%
5.8x
1.8x
▼ Worse
Interest cover
5.9x
Goodbeats 82%
2.5x
3.7x
▲ Better
Current ratio
1.46
Goodbeats 95%
0.78
1.31
▲ Better
Piotroski F-score
6 / 9
Averagebeats 58%
6 / 9
–
–
Valuation
P/E ratio
26.5x
Badbeats 15%
21.8x
23.3x
▼ Worse
Price / book
2.9x
Badbeats 15%
2.1x
4.4x
▲ Better
Price / sales
2.9x
Averagebeats 48%
2.9x
2.3x
▼ Worse
EV / EBITDA
14.1x
Averagebeats 47%
14.0x
11.4x
▼ Worse
Free cash flow yield
0.3%
Goodbeats 77%
-4.9%
-10.7%
▲ Better
Cash flow
Free cash flow margin
1.0%
Averagebeats 58%
-9.1%
-16.5%
▲ Better
Cash from operations / net income
1.21
Badbeats 2%
2.20
-0.66
▲ Better
Accruals (lower is better)
−0.8%
Badbeats 2%
−3.3%
–
–
Efficiency
Days sales outstanding
54 days
Badbeats 18%
44 days
39 days
▼ Worse
These ratings compare companies with each other and describe the past; they are not a forecast, a recommendation or part of the X-Ray Score. A factor is left out when its data is missing or meaningless (for example a P/E on negative earnings). A dash in the history columns means fewer than three usable years.
Fundamentals checklist
● 6 Good · ● 4 Average · ● 3 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashBad
Free-cash-flow yieldGood
Risk models
Altman Z''Good
Piotroski F-ScoreAverage
Growth
Revenue growth (3y)Average
Growth consistencyAverage
Balance sheet
Current ratioGood
Net debt / EBITDAGood
Interest coverGood
Valuation
Fair value vs priceAverage
EBIT / EV yieldBad
Profitability
Return on invested capitalGood
Operating marginBad
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 51/100.
Financials
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY25
Revenue
$19.6B
$24.4B
$24.9B
$23.6B
$25.5B
Operating income
−$346M
$495M
$1.6B
$4.4B
$3.1B
Net income
−$205M
−$160M
$1.6B
$3.7B
$2.3B
Operating cash flow
−$1.3B
−$2.4B
−$5.3B
−$2.5B
$4.2B
Operating margin
-1.8%
2.0%
6.5%
18.5%
12.1%
Free cash flow
−$2.7B
−$4.0B
−$7.7B
−$5.0B
$1.3B
Diluted EPS
$0.00
$-0.49
$5.01
$11.89
$7.40
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.
Technical summary
Daily
Strongly bearish
2 bullish · 2 neutral · 12 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bearish
1 bullish · 1 neutral · 10 bearish
Monthly
Bearish
2 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10
276.2
Bearish
EMA 10
270.1
Bearish
SMA 20
273.7
Bearish
EMA 20
272.6
Bearish
SMA 50
274.7
Bearish
EMA 50
272.7
Bearish
SMA 100
267.5
Bearish
EMA 100
274.7
Bearish
SMA 200
281.7
Bearish
EMA 200
282.2
Bearish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)
41.38
Neutral
MACD (12, 26)
-1.82
Bearish
Momentum (12)
-15.04
Bearish
Stochastic %K (14)
3.26
Bullish
Williams %R (14)
-96.74
Bullish
CCI (20)
-74.22
Neutral
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
233.7
S2
243.6
S1
249.4
Pivot
259.2
R1
265.0
R2
274.8
R3
280.7
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.
Dividends
Paid, last 12 months
1.67 USD
Yield on today's price
0.65%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
Ex-dividend date
Amount per share
0.4270
0.4270
0.4270
0.3880
0.3880
0.3880
0.3880
0.3530
0.3530
0.3530
0.3530
0.2820
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.
The eight funds with the largest weight in CEG among the ETFs we cover, from each fund's latest SEC Form N-PORT (quarter-end positions, so they can be months old). All ETFs.