See inside every stock. Pro
S&P 5007,663▼ 1.21%Nasdaq26,009▼ 2.60%Dow Jones52,868▲ 0.02%Nasdaq 10028,959▼ 2.90%VIX19.03▲ 14.09%US Dollar101.62▼ 0.16%Gold spot4,093▼ 0.80%WTI101.02▲ 1.56%
← SMCI page
XStocksXray
Research report · 22 October 2026

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)

Information Technology · Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals · US stock · price as of 22 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$33.72
52-week range$19.48 – $54.53
Market cap$23.5B
P/E (trailing)10.4×
EV / EBITDA5.7×
Free-cash-flow yield−29.6%
Dividend yield–
Revenue (last 12 months)$39.1B
Revenue growth (3y a year)76.3%
Operating margin7.1%
Return on invested capital29.7%
Net debt / EBITDA–

Fair value

Fair value (average of valid models)$58.16 middle half of models $56 – $63
Versus priceUndervalued+73% to fair value
P/E multiple$38.76
EV/EBITDA multiple$53.14
10-year DCF, EBITDA exit$62.53
5-year DCF, EBITDA exit$56.88
10-year DCF, revenue exit$65.08
5-year DCF, revenue exit$60.19
10-year DCF, growth exit$66.73
5-year DCF, growth exit$61.97
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

58/ 100 · Medium confidence · ahead of 69% of sector peers
Valuation71
Growth82
Profitability37
Financial health42
Dividends–

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

-3.4428.8561.1593.44126Fair value $582021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Super Micro Computer designs and builds server systems, storage and rack-scale computing hardware, sold to data centres, cloud providers, enterprises and artificial intelligence developers. It uses a modular design approach that lets customers configure systems around processors and accelerators from major chip suppliers. Revenue comes from hardware sales and related support, and results depend heavily on the availability of components and the pace of customer data centre spending.

Trailing twelve-month revenue stands at $39.1 billion, while revenue grew by 76.3% a year over the past three years. Return on invested capital is 30%, alongside an operating margin of 7.1%. The company does not currently pay a dividend.

StocksXray gives Super Micro Computer, Inc. an X-Ray Score of 58 out of 100 (medium confidence), ahead of 69% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is growth (82) and its weakest is profitability (37).

Our fair value (the average of the valid models) is $58.16 (range $55.94 to $63.17). At $33.72 the stock trades 42% below that value, so the label is "Undervalued" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026Now
Price$4.04$24.93$81.94$49.01$29.33$33.72
Market cap$2.2B$14.0B$49.3B$30.8B$20.5B$23.5B
P/E7.6×21.9×42.7×29.2×9.0×10.4×
EV / revenue0.5×1.9×3.2×1.2×0.3×0.4×
EV / EBITDA6.9×17.5×38.4×19.8×4.6×5.7×
Price / free cash flow–22.3×–20.1×––
Free-cash-flow yield−22.4%4.5%−5.3%5.0%−34.1%−29.6%
Price / book1.5×7.1×9.1×4.9×1.4×1.6×
Dividend yield––––––

Fundamentals checklist ● 7 Good · ● 2 Average · ● 5 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash30.2%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield−29.6%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score6.7×Good
Piotroski F-Score1 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)41.9%Good
Revenue growth (3y)76.3%Good
Growth consistency90%Average

Balance sheet

Current ratio3.9×Good
Interest cover14.2×Average

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.7×Good
EBIT / EV yield16.8%Good

Profitability

Return on invested capital29.7%Good
Operating margin7.1%Bad
Gross profitability14.1%Bad

Red flags

  • Heavy dilution — Share count up more than 5% year on year
  • Heavy dilution — Share count up more than 5% year on year
  • Heavy dilution — Share count up more than 5% year on year
  • Heavy dilution — Share count up more than 5% year on year
  • Heavy dilution — Share count up more than 5% year on year
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Revenue5,1967,12314,98921,97239,06339,063
Gross profit8001,2832,0612,4304,2274,227
Operating income3357611,2111,2532,7702,770
Net income2856401,1531,0492,2302,230
Diluted EPS ($)0.531.141.921.683.263.25
Free cash flow-486627-2,6101,532-6,972-6,972
Gross margin15.4%18.0%13.8%11.1%10.8%10.8%
Operating margin6.5%10.7%8.1%5.7%7.1%7.1%
Net margin5.5%9.0%7.7%4.8%5.7%5.7%
Balance sheetFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26LTM
Total assets3,2053,6759,82614,01829,94529,945
Cash2674401,6705,1707,5217,521
Total debt597290––––
Equity1,4261,9725,4176,30214,47914,479
Dividend per share ($)––––––

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%6%12%18%FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)4,6005,7575,01812,68210,24311,120
Growth vs a year earlier+19.5%+7.5%−15.5%+123.4%+122.7%+93.2%
Net income ($M)1091951684014831,178
Diluted EPS ($)0.17–0.260.600.72–
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)

Peers in Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

CompanyX-Ray
SMCI · Super Micro Computer, Inc.58
SNDK · Sandisk Corp73
STX · Seagate Technology Holding...56
NTAP · NetApp, Inc.54
DELL · Dell Technologies Inc.53

Market Compass outlook for Information Technology: Favourable (75/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week−3.9%
1 month−18.8%
3 months+10.3%
6 months+15.6%
1 year−35.8%
3 years+35.6%
5 years+855.2%

Technical summary

DailyBearish3 bullish · 2 neutral · 11 bearish
WeeklyBearish3 bullish · 1 neutral · 8 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bearish1 bullish · 1 neutral · 6 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$38.71 / $32.53
52-week low / high$19.48 / $54.53
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 31.90 · S1 32.81 · P – · R1 34.78 · R2 35.83
stocksxray.com · page 4
XStocksXray
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)

Strengths

  • Return on invested capital of 29.7% is ahead of 69% of its sector peers.
  • Revenue growth of 76.3% a year over three years is ahead of 97% of its sector peers.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Information Technology peers (30.2%).
  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Information Technology peers (−29.6%).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Information Technology peers (1 of 9).
  • Operating margin is weak against Information Technology peers (7.1%).
  • Gross profitability is weak against Information Technology peers (14.1%).
  • Red flag: Heavy dilution (Share count up more than 5% year on year).
  • Red flag: Heavy dilution (Share count up more than 5% year on year).
  • Red flag: Heavy dilution (Share count up more than 5% year on year).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
20 Oct 20268-K2.02,9.01
15 Oct 20268-K5.02,9.01
8 Oct 20268-K5.02,9.01
31 Aug 202610-K
11 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01
5 Aug 20268-K8.01,9.01
21 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
15 Jun 20268-K1.01,3.03,5.03,9.01

Recent SMCI news briefs

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value is the average of up to 15 valuation models, most of them anchored to the company's own multiples, so it stays near the price and should be read as a range, not a point. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 23 Oct 2026