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XStocksXray
Research report · 22 October 2026

Starbucks Corp (SBUX)

Consumer Discretionary · Restaurants · US stock · price as of 22 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$101.91
52-week range$77.99 – $110.51
Market cap$116.6B
P/E (trailing)58.7×
EV / EBITDA27.2×
Free-cash-flow yield3.1%
Dividend yield2.4%
Revenue (last 12 months)$38.3B
Revenue growth (3y a year)4.9%
Operating margin7.8%
Return on invested capital18.7%
Net debt / EBITDA4.1×

Fair value

Fair value (average of valid models)$97.69 middle half of models $89 – $100
Versus priceFair−4% to fair value
P/E multiple$94.74
P/S multiple$100.13
EV/EBITDA multiple$84.65
EV/EBIT multiple$70.08
EV/revenue multiple$99.64
10-year DCF, EBITDA exit$91.59
5-year DCF, EBITDA exit$96.05
10-year DCF, revenue exit$91.07
5-year DCF, revenue exit$98.94
Dividend discount, stable$105.50
Dividend discount, multi-stage$187.44
Earnings power value$52.48
Model uncertaintyHigh

X-Ray Score

31/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 6% of sector peers
Valuation24
Growth25
Profitability46
Financial health15
Dividends54

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

59.9173.5187.11101114Fair value $982021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

Coffee, tea, cold drinks and food are served by Starbucks, a coffeehouse company, through stores it operates and through licensed stores run by partners. It also offers packaged coffee and ready-to-drink products through grocery stores and other channels, with a long-running partnership with Nestle. Customers are everyday consumers who visit stores, order ahead or use its app. The business is organised into North America, international and channel development segments.

Starbucks earns its revenue mainly from drinks and food served in its stores, with licensing income and packaged products adding to the total. Revenue was $38.3 billion over the last twelve months and has grown at 4.9% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 7.8%, and the business earns 19% on the capital invested in it. Net debt is 4.1 times EBITDA, and the dividend yield is 2.4%.

StocksXray gives Starbucks Corp an X-Ray Score of 31 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 6% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is dividends (54) and its weakest is financial health (15).

Our fair value (the average of the valid models) is $97.69 (range $89.46 to $99.76). At $101.91 the stock trades 4% above that value, so the label is "Fair" with high model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
Starbucks Corp (SBUX)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$100.30$76.51$84.64$92.58$81.31$101.91
Market cap$118.9B$88.6B$97.4B$105.3B$92.7B$116.6B
P/E28.3×27.0×23.6×28.0×49.9×58.7×
EV / revenue4.4×3.1×3.0×3.2×2.8×3.3×
EV / EBITDA19.8×16.3×14.9×16.8×22.4×27.2×
Price / free cash flow26.3×34.7×26.5×31.7×38.0×32.0×
Free-cash-flow yield3.8%2.9%3.8%3.2%2.6%3.1%
Price / book––––––
Dividend yield2.28%2.61%2.55%2.51%3.01%2.43%

Fundamentals checklist ● 1 Good · ● 1 Average · ● 13 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−10.6%Good
Free-cash-flow yield3.1%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score-1.1×Bad
Piotroski F-Score4 of 9Bad

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−16.8%Bad
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)−1.5%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)4.9%Bad
Growth consistency50%Bad

Balance sheet

Current ratio0.8×Bad
Net debt / EBITDA4.1×Bad
Interest cover5.4×Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.0×Bad
EBIT / EV yield2.2%Bad

Profitability

Return on invested capital18.7%Average
Operating margin7.8%Bad

Red flags

  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
stocksxray.com · page 2
XStocksXray
Starbucks Corp (SBUX)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue29,06132,25035,97636,17637,18438,338
Gross profit––––––
Operating income4,8724,6185,8715,4092,9372,978
Net income4,1993,2824,1253,7611,8561,983
Diluted EPS ($)3.542.833.583.311.631.74
Free cash flow4,5192,5563,6753,3182,4423,642
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin16.8%14.3%16.3%15.0%7.9%7.8%
Net margin14.5%10.2%11.5%10.4%5.0%5.2%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets31,39327,97829,44631,33932,02028,295
Cash6,4562,8183,5523,2863,2203,450
Total debt14,61615,04415,40015,56816,07513,279
Equity-5,321-8,707-7,995-7,449-8,097-7,674
Dividend per share ($)2.292.002.162.322.452.48

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%6%11%17%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)8,7629,4569,5699,9159,5329,323
Growth vs a year earlier+2.3%+3.8%+5.5%+5.5%+8.8%−1.4%
Net income ($M)3845581332935111,045
Diluted EPS ($)0.340.49–0.260.450.91
stocksxray.com · page 3
XStocksXray
Starbucks Corp (SBUX)

Peers in Restaurants

CompanyX-Ray
SBUX · Starbucks Corp31
CMG · Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc64
DPZ · Dominos Pizza Inc64
DRI · Darden Restaurants Inc54
MCD · Mcdonalds Corp53

Market Compass outlook for Consumer Discretionary: Neutral (51/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+5.2%
1 month+7.1%
3 months−1.4%
6 months+3.6%
1 year+22.2%
3 years+16.7%
5 years+0.2%

Technical summary

DailyStrongly bullish12 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bullish9 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bullish7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$99.65 / $98.67
52-week low / high$77.99 / $110.51
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 97.53 · S1 99.72 · P – · R1 103.06 · R2 104.21

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
13 Nov 2026$0.6300
14 Aug 2026$0.6200
15 May 2026$0.6200
13 Feb 2026$0.6200
14 Nov 2025$0.6200
15 Aug 2025$0.6100
stocksxray.com · page 4
XStocksXray
Starbucks Corp (SBUX)

Strengths

  • Has raised its dividend for 7 years in a row.

Risks and weak spots

  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (3.1%).
  • Altman Z score is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (-1.1×).
  • Piotroski F-Score is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (4 of 9).
  • EPS growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−16.8%).
  • Free-cash-flow growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−1.5%).
  • Revenue growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (4.9%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (50%).
  • Current ratio is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (0.8×).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
24 Sep 20268-K2.05,7.01
29 Jul 202610-Q
29 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
12 Jun 20268-K5.02
20 May 20268-K8.01
15 May 20268-K2.05
28 Apr 202610-Q
28 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value is the average of up to 15 valuation models, most of them anchored to the company's own multiples, so it stays near the price and should be read as a range, not a point. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 23 Oct 2026