Red flags⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution
About Intel Corp
Semiconductors are what Intel designs and manufactures. Its products include processors for personal computers and servers, networking chips and related platforms, and it operates a foundry business that makes chips for itself and for outside customers. Customers include computer makers, cloud and data centre operators, network equipment makers and industrial and embedded device companies. The company reports its activity in product and foundry units.
Revenue of $57.0 billion over the last twelve months comes from supplying processors and related products to computer makers and cloud operators. Revenue has changed at -5.7% a year across the last three years, a decline. The operating margin is -0.1% and the business earns 0% on the capital invested in it, which is effectively nothing. No dividend is paid. On the site's X-Ray Score it receives 17 out of 100.
52-wk range $32.89 – $142.35Volume 133,529,950Daily, split-adjusted
Vitals
Market cap$436.3B
52-week range$32.89 – $142.35
Volume (last day)133,529,950
P/E (TTM)–
EBIT / EV yield0.0%
Free-cash-flow yield0.6%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Revenue (TTM)$57.0B
Net income (TTM)−$11.3B
Operating margin-0.1%
Return on capital-0.1%
Debt incl. leases$50.5B
Cash & securities$29.7B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies that hold large long-term investments). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$63middle half of models $54 – $76
Overvalued−26.0% to fair value
Average of the 4 valuation models that pass our checks: multiples, discounted cash flow, dividend discount and earnings power value. A model more than 100% above or 60% below the price is left out as unrealistic. Model uncertainty is Medium, based on how far apart the models are. Undervalued or Overvalued means the gap to fair value is more than 17.5%.
Price $85
Undervalued < $54Fair $54 – $77Overvalued > $77
P/B multiple
$57
P/S multiple
$76
EV/revenue multiple
$77
10-year DCF, revenue exit · not used
$20
5-year DCF, revenue exit
$43
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.13%, equity risk premium 4.30% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means
Weak business, priced high
Our models put fair value below today's price, so a lot of good news may already be in the price. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.
Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.
The five-lens scan
Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Information Technology peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.
Strong: 70 to 100Fair: 50 to 69Weak: under 50No score: not enough data
ValuationWeak
13/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield0.0%
Free-cash-flow yield0.6%
Fair value vs price0.7×
GrowthWeak
6/100
Growing slower than most of its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)-5.7%
Growth consistency50%
ProfitabilityWeak
20/100
Earns lower returns on its capital than most peers.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital-0.1%
Operating margin-0.1%
Gross profitability10.9%
Financial healthWeak
30/100
Balance sheet is more stretched than most peers.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score6 / 9
Interest cover-0.1×
DividendsNone
–/100
Pays no dividend.
See the numbers →
Quarterly results: last 6 quarters
-0.4%Mar '25
+0.2%Jun '25
+2.8%Sep '25
-4.1%Dec '25
+7.2%Mar '26
+25.4%Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $16.1B, diluted EPS $-2.16.
Return on invested capital is only -0.1% (median 16.7% for industry peers), so the business earns little above its cost of capital.
Operating margin of -0.1% is thin against 29.5% for industry peers.
Revenue has fallen 5.7% a year over three years while industry peers grew 5.8%.
Opportunitiesvaluation and setting
Our Market Compass rates the backdrop for Information Technology as favourable.
Threatsvaluation and setting
The price is 26% above our fair value estimate, so there is little room for disappointment.
Earnings in Semiconductors follow the industry cycle, so margins and profits can swing from year to year.
Our checks raised: Heavy dilution; Heavy dilution.
Written by fixed rules from the figures on this page and the peer table below: filings, our fair value, the sector climate and the price trend. It summarises the data, it is not a forecast or advice.
Compare INTC with peers and sector
Medians of 14 Semiconductors peers and of 74 Information Technology stocks in our universe.
Largest peers (X-Ray Score): NVDA67, AVGO60, MU79, AMD48, TXN44, MRVL31.
Metric
INTC
Peers
Sector
X-Ray Score (out of 100)
17
46
50
Valuation
13
33
52
Growth
6
44
54
Profitability
19
45
50
Financial health
30
61
50
Dividends
–
53
50
Sector leaders: highest X-Ray Score in Information Technology
INTC ranks #75 of 75 in Information Technology and #15 of 15 in Semiconductors by X-Ray Score. A higher score is stronger on our five pillars; it is a ranking of facts, not a forecast.
Green means better than the peer median, red worse (only where a higher or lower figure is clearly better). A dash means too few companies report the figure. P/E, EV/EBITDA and price changes are not graded: a different level is not good or bad by itself.
Factor ratings for INTC
Each factor is rated by where INTC stands among the 75 Information Technology stocks in our universe.
Rating against the sector
Goodthe top third of these stocks
Averagethe middle third of these stocks
Badthe bottom third of these stocks
"Beats" is the share of those stocks it is ahead of.
Against its own history
The last columns set today's figure against the company's own median of its last five financial years:
▲ Betterbetter than its usual level
▼ Worseworse than its usual level
≈ In linewithin its usual range
For valuation factors Good means cheaper than most of the sector and Better means cheaper than usual for this company, which is not the same as a bargain.
In total: 3 Good · 4 Average · 10 Bad of 17Growth: 0 · 0 · 2Profitability: 0 · 0 · 5Financial strength: 0 · 2 · 1Valuation: 1 · 1 · 1Cash flow: 1 · 0 · 1Efficiency: 1 · 1 · 0
Factor
INTC
Rating
Sector median
Own 5-year median
Against own history
Growth
Revenue growth, 3 years a year
−5.7%
Badbeats 5%
+9.7%
–
–
Revenue growth, last year
−0.5%
Badbeats 6%
+13.7%
−2.1%
≈ In line
Profitability
Gross margin
38.6%
Badbeats 18%
57.8%
40.0%
≈ In line
Operating margin
-0.1%
Badbeats 2%
20.3%
0.2%
≈ In line
Net margin
-19.8%
Badbeats 2%
17.8%
3.1%
▼ Worse
Return on invested capital
-0.1%
Badbeats 2%
19.4%
–
–
Return on equity
-12.9%
Badbeats 2%
21.0%
1.6%
▼ Worse
Financial strength
Interest cover
-0.1x
Badbeats 2%
23.0x
0.1x
≈ In line
Current ratio
1.60
Averagebeats 51%
1.57
1.57
≈ In line
Piotroski F-score
6 / 9
Averagebeats 43%
6 / 9
–
–
Valuation
Price / book
5.0x
Goodbeats 76%
8.3x
1.4x
▼ Worse
Price / sales
7.7x
Averagebeats 45%
6.9x
2.7x
▼ Worse
Free cash flow yield
0.6%
Badbeats 9%
3.4%
-6.7%
▲ Better
Cash flow
Free cash flow margin
5.0%
Badbeats 10%
22.3%
-14.9%
▲ Better
Accruals (lower is better)
−13.0%
Goodbeats 93%
−4.4%
–
–
Efficiency
Inventory turnover
2.8x
Averagebeats 39%
3.9x
2.9x
≈ In line
Days sales outstanding
26 days
Goodbeats 94%
63 days
24 days
≈ In line
These ratings compare companies with each other and describe the past; they are not a forecast, a recommendation or part of the X-Ray Score. A factor is left out when its data is missing or meaningless (for example a P/E on negative earnings). A dash in the history columns means fewer than three usable years.
Fundamentals checklist
● 1 Good · ● 2 Average · ● 10 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashGood
Free-cash-flow yieldBad
Risk models
Altman Z''Bad
Piotroski F-ScoreAverage
Growth
Revenue growth (3y)Bad
Growth consistencyBad
Balance sheet
Current ratioAverage
Interest coverBad
Valuation
Fair value vs priceBad
EBIT / EV yieldBad
Profitability
Return on invested capitalBad
Operating marginBad
Gross profitabilityBad
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 17/100.
Financials
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY25
Revenue
$79.0B
$63.1B
$54.2B
$53.1B
$52.9B
Operating income
$19.5B
$2.3B
$93M
−$11.7B
−$2.2B
Net income
$19.9B
$8.0B
$1.7B
−$18.8B
−$267M
Operating cash flow
$29.5B
$15.4B
$11.5B
$8.3B
$9.7B
Operating margin
24.6%
3.7%
0.2%
-22.0%
-4.2%
Free cash flow
$10.7B
−$9.4B
−$14.3B
−$15.7B
−$4.9B
Diluted EPS
$4.86
$1.94
$0.40
$-4.38
$-0.06
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.
Technical summary
Daily
Strongly bearish
3 bullish · 1 neutral · 12 bearish
Weekly
Neutral
6 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
Monthly
Bullish
5 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10
95.44
Bearish
EMA 10
95.51
Bearish
SMA 20
105.9
Bearish
EMA 20
100.7
Bearish
SMA 50
102.5
Bearish
EMA 50
103.1
Bearish
SMA 100
106.1
Bearish
EMA 100
99.98
Bearish
SMA 200
85.59
Bearish
EMA 200
87.25
Bearish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)
30.47
Neutral
MACD (12, 26)
-4.98
Bearish
Momentum (12)
-24.01
Bearish
Stochastic %K (14)
2.52
Bullish
Williams %R (14)
-97.48
Bullish
CCI (20)
-124.3
Bullish
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
79.15
S2
81.90
S1
83.70
Pivot
86.44
R1
88.24
R2
90.98
R3
92.78
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.
Dividends
Paid, last 12 months
0.00 USD
Yield on today's price
–
Frequency
None in the last year
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
Ex-dividend date
Amount per share
0.1250
0.1250
0.1250
0.1250
0.1250
0.1250
0.3650
0.3650
0.3650
0.3650
0.3650
0.3475
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.
The eight funds with the largest weight in INTC among the ETFs we cover, from each fund's latest SEC Form N-PORT (quarter-end positions, so they can be months old). All ETFs.
INTC stock splits
INTC has split its stock 5 times since 1993. The latest was a 2-for-1 split on 31 Jul 2000.