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PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)

Financials · Transaction & Payment Processing Services · US stock · S&P 500 component
$57.54 ▲ +0.33 (0.59%)
At close · USD · Volume 7,499,012
Compare with MA
Fair valueUndervalued
$83 +44.4% to fair value
$42fair band $71–$101$125
Day's range
$56.81 – $57.61
52-week range
$38.46 – $79.22

About PayPal Holdings, Inc.

PayPal operates a digital payments platform that lets consumers and merchants send, receive and accept money online and in stores. Its brands include PayPal, Venmo and Braintree, which handle checkout, peer-to-peer transfers and payment processing for businesses. The company earns money mainly from transaction fees charged on the payments it processes, along with currency conversion charges and income from credit and other financial services offered to account holders.

Sales reached $33.7 billion in the last twelve months, having grown 6.4% a year over the past three years. Operating profit equals 17.9% of revenue. Return on invested capital is 23%. Net debt is 0.1 times of EBITDA. It pays a dividend, and the yield is 1.0%. Overall, the X-Ray Score is 65 out of 100.

52-wk range $38.46 – $79.22Volume 7,499,012Daily, split-adjusted

Vitals

Market cap$52.9B
52-week range$38.46 – $79.22
Volume (last day)7,499,012
P/E (TTM)10.9
EBIT / EV yield11.2%
Free-cash-flow yield10.4%
Dividend yield1.0%
Revenue (TTM)$33.7B
Net income (TTM)$5.1B
Operating margin17.9%
Return on capital22.9%
Debt incl. leases$10.1B
Cash & securities$9.3B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies that hold large long-term investments). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.

Fair value estimate

$83middle half of models $73 – $91
Undervalued +44.4% to fair value
Average of the 11 valuation models that pass our checks: multiples, discounted cash flow, dividend discount and earnings power value. A model more than 100% above or 60% below the price is left out as unrealistic. Model uncertainty is Medium, based on how far apart the models are. Undervalued or Overvalued means the gap to fair value is more than 17.5%.
Price $58
Undervalued < $71Fair $71 – $101Overvalued > $101
P/E multiple
$64
P/B multiple
$71
P/S multiple
$75
EV/EBITDA multiple
$71
EV/EBIT multiple
$88
EV/revenue multiple
$78
10-year DCF, EBITDA exit
$93
5-year DCF, EBITDA exit
$83
10-year DCF, revenue exit
$94
5-year DCF, revenue exit
$83
10-year DCF, growth exit · not used
$120
5-year DCF, growth exit
$114
Earnings power value · not used
$125
Growth the price implies
-9.0%/yr
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.13%, equity risk premium 4.30% (Damodaran). How it works.

What this means

Average business at a low price

Our models put fair value above today's price, but models can be wrong, so check the business first. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.

Before you invest · decision checklist

Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.

The five-lens scan

Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Financials peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.

Strong: 70 to 100Fair: 50 to 69Weak: under 50No score: not enough data

Valuation Strong
84/100
Cheap against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield11.2%
Free-cash-flow yield10.4%
Fair value vs price1.4×
Growth Fair
54/100
Growing at a typical pace for its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)6.4%
EPS growth (3y)37.3%
Growth consistency100%
Profitability Fair
64/100
Returns on capital are typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital22.9%
Operating margin17.9%
Financial health Fair
69/100
Balance sheet is in typical shape for its sector.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score9 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA0.1×
Interest cover13.4×
Dividends Weak
37/100
Dividend is modest or less certain than peers.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield1.0%
Dividends vs free cash flow9%

Quarterly results: last 6 quarters

+4.2%
Dec '24
+1.2%
Mar '25
+5.1%
Jun '25
+7.3%
Sep '25
+3.7%
Dec '25
+7.2%
Mar '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $8.4B, diluted EPS $1.21.

Compare with peers

JKHY Jack Henry & Associate...63 MA Mastercard Inc57 CPAY Corpay, Inc.55 FISV Fiserv Inc49
Other Transaction & Payment Processing Services companies by X-Ray Score.

SWOT analysis: PayPal Holdings, Inc.

Strengthsinside the company
  • Return on invested capital is 22.9%, against a median of 7.2% for industry peers.
  • Earnings per share have compounded at 37.3% a year over three years.
  • Free cash flow equals 10.4% of the market value, which funds dividends, buybacks or debt paydown.
  • Net debt is only 0.1x EBITDA.
Weaknessesinside the company
  • No clear weakness in the figures we track.
Opportunitiesvaluation and setting
  • Trades at 10.5x earnings, 56% below the 23.7x median of industry peers.
  • The price is 44% below our fair value estimate, with the gap larger than the margin we allow for error.
  • Our Market Compass rates the backdrop for Financials as favourable.
Threatsvaluation and setting
  • No specific threat is flagged by our checks; general market and interest-rate risk still applies.
Written by fixed rules from the figures on this page and the peer table below: filings, our fair value, the sector climate and the price trend. It summarises the data, it is not a forecast or advice.

Compare PYPL with peers and sector

Medians of 7 Transaction & Payment Processing Services peers and of 70 Financials stocks in our universe. Largest peers (X-Ray Score): MA 57, XYZ 45, CPAY 55, FISV 49, GPN 29, FIS 36.
MetricPYPLPeersSector
X-Ray Score (out of 100)654950
Valuation845152
Growth545454
Profitability634648
Financial health692250
Dividends374354

Sector leaders: highest X-Ray Score in Financials

PYPL ranks #5 of 71 in Financials and #1 of 8 in Transaction & Payment Processing Services by X-Ray Score. A higher score is stronger on our five pillars; it is a ranking of facts, not a forecast.
CompanyX-Ray Score
#1 PGR Progressive Corp69
#2 SCHW Schwab Charles Corp68
#3 AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc67
#4 AIZ Assurant, Inc.66
#5 PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. (this stock)65
Green means better than the peer median, red worse (only where a higher or lower figure is clearly better). A dash means too few companies report the figure. P/E, EV/EBITDA and price changes are not graded: a different level is not good or bad by itself.

Factor ratings for PYPL

Each factor is rated by where PYPL stands among the 71 Financials stocks in our universe.

Rating against the sector
Goodthe top third of these stocks
Averagethe middle third of these stocks
Badthe bottom third of these stocks
"Beats" is the share of those stocks it is ahead of.
Against its own history
The last columns set today's figure against the company's own median of its last five financial years:
▲ Betterbetter than its usual level
▼ Worseworse than its usual level
≈ In linewithin its usual range

For valuation factors Good means cheaper than most of the sector and Better means cheaper than usual for this company, which is not the same as a bargain.

In total: 11 Good · 5 Average · 5 Bad of 21 Growth: 1 · 1 · 1 Profitability: 2 · 0 · 2 Financial strength: 3 · 0 · 1 Valuation: 4 · 1 · 0 Cash flow: 0 · 3 · 1 Efficiency: 1 · 0 · 0
FactorPYPLRatingSector medianOwn 5-year medianAgainst own history
Growth
Revenue growth, 3 years a year+6.4% Average beats 41% +8.3% – –
Revenue growth, last year+4.3% Bad beats 25% +6.9% +8.2% ▼ Worse
EPS growth, 3 years a year+37.3% Good beats 91% +12.7% – –
Profitability
Operating margin17.9% Bad beats 25% 29.1% 16.8% ≈ In line
Net margin15.0% Bad beats 32% 21.8% 14.3% ≈ In line
Return on invested capital22.9% Good beats 72% 13.5% – –
Return on equity25.3% Good beats 81% 15.7% 20.2% ▲ Better
Financial strength
Net debt / EBITDA0.1x Good beats 71% 1.1x -0.2x ≈ In line
Interest cover13.4x Bad beats 31% 50.0x 13.9x ≈ In line
Current ratio1.26 Good beats 85% 1.05 1.28 ≈ In line
Piotroski F-score9 / 9 Good beats 92% 7 / 9 – –
Valuation
P/E ratio10.5x Good beats 80% 13.8x 21.4x ▲ Better
Price / book2.6x Average beats 38% 2.2x 4.1x ▲ Better
Price / sales1.6x Good beats 85% 3.1x 2.8x ▲ Better
EV / EBITDA7.7x Good beats 75% 10.8x 13.8x ▲ Better
Free cash flow yield10.4% Good beats 76% 5.8% 6.2% ▲ Better
Cash flow
Free cash flow margin16.3% Bad beats 29% 23.2% 18.6% ▼ Worse
Cash from operations / net income1.26 Average beats 53% 1.25 1.39 ≈ In line
Free cash flow growth, 3 years a year+2.9% Average beats 35% +12.7% – –
Accruals (lower is better)−1.7% Average beats 64% −1.0% – –
Efficiency
Days sales outstanding9 days Good beats 92% 53 days 12 days ≈ In line
These ratings compare companies with each other and describe the past; they are not a forecast, a recommendation or part of the X-Ray Score. A factor is left out when its data is missing or meaningless (for example a P/E on negative earnings). A dash in the history columns means fewer than three usable years.

Fundamentals checklist

● 9 Good · ● 4 Average · ● 2 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashAverage
Free-cash-flow yieldGood
Risk models
Altman Z''Average
Piotroski F-ScoreGood
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Good
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)Average
Revenue growth (3y)Average
Growth consistencyGood
Balance sheet
Current ratioGood
Net debt / EBITDAGood
Interest coverBad
Valuation
Fair value vs priceGood
EBIT / EV yieldGood
Profitability
Return on invested capitalGood
Operating marginBad
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 65/100.

Financials

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$25.4B$27.5B$29.8B$31.8B$33.2B
Operating income$4.3B$3.8B$5.0B$5.3B$6.1B
Net income$4.2B$2.4B$4.2B$4.1B$5.2B
Operating cash flow$5.8B$5.8B$4.8B$7.5B$6.4B
Operating margin16.8%13.9%16.9%16.7%18.3%
Free cash flow$4.9B$5.1B$4.2B$6.8B$5.6B
Diluted EPS$3.52$2.09$3.84$3.99$5.41
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.

Technical summary

Daily
Strongly bullish
12 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
Weekly
Bullish
8 bullish · 1 neutral · 3 bearish
Monthly
Bearish
2 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 1056.61Bullish
EMA 1056.53Bullish
SMA 2055.33Bullish
EMA 2055.79Bullish
SMA 5055.88Bullish
EMA 5055.00Bullish
SMA 10052.55Bullish
EMA 10053.62Bullish
SMA 20049.80Bullish
EMA 20053.80Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)63.50Neutral
MACD (12, 26)0.74Bullish
Momentum (12)5.36Bullish
Stochastic %K (14)92.48Bearish
Williams %R (14)-7.52Bearish
CCI (20)111.1Bearish
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
56.23
S2
56.52
S1
57.03
Pivot
57.32
R1
57.83
R2
58.12
R3
58.63
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.

Dividends

Paid, last 12 months
0.56 USD
Yield on today's price
0.97%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
0.1400
0.1400
0.1400
0.1400
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.

ETFs that hold PYPL

ETFShare of the fund
FDN First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index1.57%
QQQE Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Ind...1.30%
RDVI FT Cboe Vest Rising Dividend Achievers...1.18%
RDVY First Trust Rising Dividend Achievers0.89%
SPHB Invesco S&P 500 High Beta0.71%
IYJ iShares U.S. Industrials0.61%
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR0.50%
VOE Vanguard Mid-Cap Value0.39%
The eight funds with the largest weight in PYPL among the ETFs we cover, from each fund's latest SEC Form N-PORT (quarter-end positions, so they can be months old). All ETFs.

PYPL SEC filings

10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change; Shareholder vote results
8-KSEC EDGAR
Other events
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change; Regulation FD disclosure
DEF 14ASEC EDGAR
Proxy statement

Where the numbers come from

Statements SEC EDGAR filings (10-K, 10-Q), quarters derived from year-to-date figures.
Prices end-of-day closes, split-adjusted.
Industry inputs beta, multiples and equity risk premium from Damodaran Online (NYU Stern).
Read the full methodology →

StocksXray is for education only and is not financial advice. Scores and fair values are model estimates from public filings and carry uncertainty.