Red flags⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution
About Palo Alto Networks Inc
Palo Alto Networks is a cybersecurity company known for its network firewalls. Its platforms cover network security, cloud security and security operations, using tools that detect and respond to threats across a customer's systems. Customers include large enterprises, service providers, government bodies and smaller organisations. The company supplies both hardware firewalls and software and cloud services that customers can combine.
Subscriptions and support for its security platforms account for most of the revenue, with a smaller share from hardware products. Revenue was $11.5 billion over the last twelve months and has grown at 18.5% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 6.1%, and the business earns 2% on the capital invested in it. No dividend is paid. A net debt measure is not available on the site for this company. On the site's X-Ray Score it receives 33 out of 100.
52-wk range $139.57 – $432.33Volume 7,313,452Daily, split-adjusted
Vitals
Market cap$271.2B
52-week range$139.57 – $432.33
Volume (last day)7,313,452
P/E (TTM)862.7
EBIT / EV yield0.3%
Free-cash-flow yield1.5%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Revenue (TTM)$11.5B
Net income (TTM)$307M
Operating margin6.1%
Return on capital1.9%
Debt incl. leasesData missing
Cash & securities$3.1B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies that hold large long-term investments). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$317middle half of models $304 – $312
Fair−10.8% to fair value
Average of the 9 valuation models that pass our checks: multiples, discounted cash flow, dividend discount and earnings power value. A model more than 100% above or 60% below the price is left out as unrealistic. Model uncertainty is High, based on how far apart the models are. Undervalued or Overvalued means the gap to fair value is more than 17.5%.
Peak-cycle earnings: the current operating margin is more than 1.5x its 7-year average, so multiples applied to today's profit may overstate value; model uncertainty is set to High
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.13%, equity risk premium 4.30% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means
Weak business, fairly priced
The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.
Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.
The five-lens scan
Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Information Technology peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.
Strong: 70 to 100Fair: 50 to 69Weak: under 50No score: not enough data
ValuationWeak
24/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield0.3%
Free-cash-flow yield1.5%
Fair value vs price0.9×
GrowthFair
60/100
Growing at a typical pace for its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)18.5%
EPS growth (3y)-14.5%
Growth consistency100%
ProfitabilityWeak
25/100
Earns lower returns on its capital than most peers.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital1.9%
Operating margin6.1%
Gross profitability16.7%
Financial healthWeak
27/100
Balance sheet is more stretched than most peers.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score3 / 9
Interest coverNo interest cost
DividendsNone
–/100
Pays no dividend.
See the numbers →
Quarterly results: last 6 quarters
+15.3%Apr '25
+15.9%Jul '25
+15.7%Oct '25
+14.9%Jan '26
+31.1%Apr '26
+34.5%Jul '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $3.4B.
Revenue has grown 18.5% a year over three years (median 15.8% for industry peers).
Operating profit covers interest 50x, so debt costs are a small drag.
Weaknessesinside the company
Return on invested capital is only 1.9% (median 6.5% for industry peers), so the business earns little above its cost of capital.
Operating margin of 6.1% is thin against 21.9% for industry peers.
Earnings per share have declined 14.5% a year over three years.
Passes only 3 of the 9 Piotroski tests, which shows weak or worsening financial trends.
Opportunitiesvaluation and setting
Revenue growth picked up to 24.5% last year from 18.5% a year over three years.
Our Market Compass rates the backdrop for Information Technology as favourable.
Price momentum is strong on the weekly and monthly signals (trends can reverse).
Threatsvaluation and setting
Trades at 883.3x earnings, 1,748% above the 47.8x median of industry peers, so the price already assumes better results.
Valuation uncertainty is high: the models give widely different values, so the fair value range is wide.
Our checks raised: Heavy dilution; Heavy dilution.
Written by fixed rules from the figures on this page and the peer table below: filings, our fair value, the sector climate and the price trend. It summarises the data, it is not a forecast or advice.
Compare PANW with peers and sector
Medians of 6 Systems Software peers and of 74 Information Technology stocks in our universe.
Largest peers (X-Ray Score): MSFT61, CRWD33, NOW48, FTNT59, TWLO43, GEN59.
Metric
PANW
Peers
Sector
X-Ray Score (out of 100)
33
54
50
Valuation
24
47
52
Growth
60
66
54
Profitability
25
44
50
Financial health
27
50
50
Dividends
–
–
50
Sector leaders: highest X-Ray Score in Information Technology
PANW ranks #69 of 75 in Information Technology and #7 of 7 in Systems Software by X-Ray Score. A higher score is stronger on our five pillars; it is a ranking of facts, not a forecast.
Green means better than the peer median, red worse (only where a higher or lower figure is clearly better). A dash means too few companies report the figure. P/E, EV/EBITDA and price changes are not graded: a different level is not good or bad by itself.
Factor ratings for PANW
Each factor is rated by where PANW stands among the 75 Information Technology stocks in our universe.
Rating against the sector
Goodthe top third of these stocks
Averagethe middle third of these stocks
Badthe bottom third of these stocks
"Beats" is the share of those stocks it is ahead of.
Against its own history
The last columns set today's figure against the company's own median of its last five financial years:
▲ Betterbetter than its usual level
▼ Worseworse than its usual level
≈ In linewithin its usual range
For valuation factors Good means cheaper than most of the sector and Better means cheaper than usual for this company, which is not the same as a bargain.
In total: 8 Good · 2 Average · 12 Bad of 22Growth: 2 · 0 · 1Profitability: 1 · 0 · 4Financial strength: 1 · 0 · 2Valuation: 0 · 1 · 4Cash flow: 3 · 1 · 0Efficiency: 1 · 0 · 1
Factor
PANW
Rating
Sector median
Own 5-year median
Against own history
Growth
Revenue growth, 3 years a year
+18.5%
Goodbeats 80%
+9.7%
–
–
Revenue growth, last year
+24.5%
Goodbeats 78%
+13.7%
+24.5%
≈ In line
EPS growth, 3 years a year
−14.5%
Badbeats 13%
+5.9%
–
–
Profitability
Gross margin
70.4%
Goodbeats 73%
57.8%
72.3%
≈ In line
Operating margin
6.1%
Badbeats 11%
20.3%
6.1%
≈ In line
Net margin
2.7%
Badbeats 7%
17.8%
6.4%
▼ Worse
Return on invested capital
1.9%
Badbeats 5%
19.4%
–
–
Return on equity
1.1%
Badbeats 5%
21.0%
14.5%
▼ Worse
Financial strength
Interest cover
50.0x
Goodbeats 75%
23.0x
32.1x
▲ Better
Current ratio
0.87
Badbeats 15%
1.57
0.87
≈ In line
Piotroski F-score
3 / 9
Badbeats 3%
6 / 9
–
–
Valuation
P/E ratio
883.3x
Badbeats 2%
33.6x
151.6x
▼ Worse
Price / book
9.9x
Averagebeats 42%
8.3x
22.2x
▲ Better
Price / sales
23.6x
Badbeats 5%
6.9x
13.3x
▼ Worse
EV / EBITDA
173.5x
Badbeats 3%
24.7x
–
–
Free cash flow yield
1.5%
Badbeats 18%
3.4%
2.8%
▼ Worse
Cash flow
Free cash flow margin
35.8%
Goodbeats 83%
22.3%
37.6%
≈ In line
Cash from operations / net income
14.83
Goodbeats 98%
1.39
4.80
▲ Better
Free cash flow growth, 3 years a year
+16.1%
Averagebeats 52%
+15.4%
–
–
Accruals (lower is better)
−8.8%
Goodbeats 78%
−4.4%
–
–
Efficiency
Inventory turnover
29.1x
Goodbeats 97%
3.9x
21.7x
▲ Better
Days sales outstanding
115 days
Badbeats 1%
63 days
119 days
≈ In line
These ratings compare companies with each other and describe the past; they are not a forecast, a recommendation or part of the X-Ray Score. A factor is left out when its data is missing or meaningless (for example a P/E on negative earnings). A dash in the history columns means fewer than three usable years.
Fundamentals checklist
● 4 Good · ● 2 Average · ● 9 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashGood
Free-cash-flow yieldBad
Risk models
Altman Z''Bad
Piotroski F-ScoreBad
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Bad
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)Average
Revenue growth (3y)Good
Growth consistencyGood
Balance sheet
Current ratioBad
Interest coverGood
Valuation
Fair value vs priceAverage
EBIT / EV yieldBad
Profitability
Return on invested capitalBad
Operating marginBad
Gross profitabilityBad
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 34/100.
Financials
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY25
FY26
Revenue
$5.5B
$6.9B
$8.0B
$9.2B
$11.5B
Operating income
−$189M
$387M
$684M
$1.2B
$695M
Net income
−$267M
$440M
$2.6B
$1.1B
$307M
Operating cash flow
$2.0B
$2.8B
$3.3B
$3.7B
$4.6B
Operating margin
-3.4%
5.6%
8.5%
13.5%
6.1%
Free cash flow
$1.8B
$2.6B
$3.1B
$3.5B
$4.1B
Diluted EPS
$-0.90
$0.64
$3.64
$1.60
$0.40
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.
Technical summary
Daily
Bearish
4 bullish · 4 neutral · 8 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bullish
9 bullish · 1 neutral · 2 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bullish
7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10
369.6
Bearish
EMA 10
363.7
Bearish
SMA 20
384.0
Bearish
EMA 20
372.3
Bearish
SMA 50
370.7
Bearish
EMA 50
366.5
Bearish
SMA 100
346.5
Bullish
EMA 100
338.7
Bullish
SMA 200
264.0
Bullish
EMA 200
293.8
Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)
43.31
Neutral
MACD (12, 26)
-6.51
Bearish
Momentum (12)
-15.48
Bearish
Stochastic %K (14)
20.67
Neutral
Williams %R (14)
-79.33
Neutral
CCI (20)
-86.48
Neutral
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
335.4
S2
343.8
S1
349.4
Pivot
357.8
R1
363.4
R2
371.8
R3
377.3
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.
The eight funds with the largest weight in PANW among the ETFs we cover, from each fund's latest SEC Form N-PORT (quarter-end positions, so they can be months old). All ETFs.
PANW stock splits
PANW has split its stock 2 times since 2022. The latest was a 2-for-1 split on 16 Dec 2024.