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Mastercard Inc (MA)

Financials · Transaction & Payment Processing Services · US stock · S&P 500 component
$633.21 ▲ +10.59 (1.70%)
At close · USD · Volume 4,037,141
Fair valueFair
$578 −8.7% to fair value
$289fair band $492–$701$868
Day's range
$623.88 – $633.29
52-week range
$464.52 – $633.29

About Mastercard Inc

Mastercard runs a global payments network that connects consumers, merchants and banks. It does not issue cards or lend to cardholders; banks do that. The company earns money from fees charged on transaction volume, on currency conversion and cross-border activity, and from data, security and other services it sells to financial institutions. Its results follow consumer spending patterns and the growth of electronic payments.

Looking at the top line, revenue was $35.1 billion for the latest twelve months and it grew by 13.8% a year over three years. Operating margin was 58.3%, and return on invested capital is 87%. Its net debt to EBITDA ratio is 0.6 times. Shareholders receive a dividend with a yield of 0.5%. The overall X-Ray Score is 57 out of 100.

52-wk range $464.52 – $633.29Volume 4,037,141Daily, split-adjusted

Vitals

Market cap$559.1B
52-week range$464.52 – $633.29
Volume (last day)4,037,141
P/E (TTM)34.9
EBIT / EV yield3.6%
Free-cash-flow yield3.0%
Dividend yield0.5%
Revenue (TTM)$35.1B
Net income (TTM)$16.3B
Operating margin58.3%
Return on capital87.0%
Debt incl. leases$24.6B
Cash & securities$11.3B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies that hold large long-term investments). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.

Fair value estimate

$578middle half of models $460 – $726
Fair −8.7% to fair value
Average of the 14 valuation models that pass our checks: multiples, discounted cash flow, dividend discount and earnings power value. A model more than 100% above or 60% below the price is left out as unrealistic. Model uncertainty is Medium, based on how far apart the models are. Undervalued or Overvalued means the gap to fair value is more than 17.5%.
Price $633
Undervalued < $492Fair $492 – $701Overvalued > $701
P/E multiple
$638
P/B multiple
$470
P/S multiple
$522
EV/EBITDA multiple
$567
EV/EBIT multiple
$612
EV/revenue multiple
$550
10-year DCF, EBITDA exit
$761
5-year DCF, EBITDA exit
$761
10-year DCF, revenue exit
$760
5-year DCF, revenue exit
$755
10-year DCF, growth exit
$456
5-year DCF, growth exit
$416
Dividend discount, multi-stage
$433
Earnings power value
$396
Growth the price implies
9.0%/yr
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.13%, equity risk premium 4.30% (Damodaran). How it works.

What this means

Strong business at a fair price

The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.

Before you invest · decision checklist

Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.

The five-lens scan

Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Financials peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.

Strong: 70 to 100Fair: 50 to 69Weak: under 50No score: not enough data

Valuation Weak
12/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield3.6%
Free-cash-flow yield3.0%
Fair value vs price0.9×
Growth Strong
73/100
Growing faster than most of its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)13.8%
EPS growth (3y)17.4%
Growth consistency100%
Profitability Strong
75/100
Earns high returns on the capital it uses.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital87.0%
Operating margin58.3%
Financial health Strong
74/100
Balance sheet looks strong: debt is well covered.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score9 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA0.6×
Interest cover27.4×
Dividends Fair
56/100
Dividend is typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield0.5%
Dividends vs free cash flow18%
Dividend growth13.1%

Quarterly results: last 6 quarters

+14.2%
Mar '25
+16.8%
Jun '25
+16.7%
Sep '25
+17.6%
Dec '25
+15.8%
Mar '26
+14.1%
Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $9.3B, diluted EPS $4.97.

Compare with peers

PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc.65 JKHY Jack Henry & Associate...63 CPAY Corpay, Inc.55 FISV Fiserv Inc49
Other Transaction & Payment Processing Services companies by X-Ray Score.

SWOT analysis: Mastercard Inc

Strengthsinside the company
  • Return on invested capital is 87.0%, against a median of 7.2% for industry peers.
  • Operating margin of 58.3% is well above the 17.9% median of industry peers, a sign of pricing power or lower costs.
  • Revenue has grown 13.8% a year over three years (median 6.4% for industry peers).
  • Earnings per share have compounded at 17.4% a year over three years.
Weaknessesinside the company
  • No clear weakness in the figures we track.
Opportunitiesvaluation and setting
  • Our Market Compass rates the backdrop for Financials as favourable.
  • Price momentum is strong on the weekly and monthly signals (trends can reverse).
Threatsvaluation and setting
  • Trades at 34.4x earnings, 104% above the 16.8x median of industry peers, so the price already assumes better results.
Written by fixed rules from the figures on this page and the peer table below: filings, our fair value, the sector climate and the price trend. It summarises the data, it is not a forecast or advice.

Compare MA with peers and sector

Medians of 7 Transaction & Payment Processing Services peers and of 70 Financials stocks in our universe. Largest peers (X-Ray Score): PYPL 65, XYZ 45, CPAY 55, FISV 49, GPN 29, FIS 36.
MetricMAPeersSector
X-Ray Score (out of 100)574950
Valuation126352
Growth735454
Profitability754648
Financial health742250
Dividends563754

Sector leaders: highest X-Ray Score in Financials

MA ranks #22 of 71 in Financials and #3 of 8 in Transaction & Payment Processing Services by X-Ray Score. A higher score is stronger on our five pillars; it is a ranking of facts, not a forecast.
CompanyX-Ray Score
#1 PGR Progressive Corp69
#2 SCHW Schwab Charles Corp68
#3 AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc67
#4 AIZ Assurant, Inc.66
#5 PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc.65
…
#22 MA Mastercard Inc (this stock)57
Green means better than the peer median, red worse (only where a higher or lower figure is clearly better). A dash means too few companies report the figure. P/E, EV/EBITDA and price changes are not graded: a different level is not good or bad by itself.

Factor ratings for MA

Each factor is rated by where MA stands among the 71 Financials stocks in our universe.

Rating against the sector
Goodthe top third of these stocks
Averagethe middle third of these stocks
Badthe bottom third of these stocks
"Beats" is the share of those stocks it is ahead of.
Against its own history
The last columns set today's figure against the company's own median of its last five financial years:
▲ Betterbetter than its usual level
▼ Worseworse than its usual level
≈ In linewithin its usual range

For valuation factors Good means cheaper than most of the sector and Better means cheaper than usual for this company, which is not the same as a bargain.

In total: 9 Good · 7 Average · 5 Bad of 21 Growth: 2 · 1 · 0 Profitability: 4 · 0 · 0 Financial strength: 1 · 3 · 0 Valuation: 0 · 0 · 5 Cash flow: 2 · 2 · 0 Efficiency: 0 · 1 · 0
FactorMARatingSector medianOwn 5-year medianAgainst own history
Growth
Revenue growth, 3 years a year+13.8% Good beats 82% +8.3% – –
Revenue growth, last year+16.4% Good beats 86% +6.9% +12.9% ▲ Better
EPS growth, 3 years a year+17.4% Average beats 65% +12.7% – –
Profitability
Operating margin58.3% Good beats 89% 29.1% 55.3% ≈ In line
Net margin46.3% Good beats 90% 21.8% 44.7% ≈ In line
Return on invested capital87.0% Good beats 96% 13.5% – –
Return on equity289.7% Good beats 99% 15.7% 161.6% ▲ Better
Financial strength
Net debt / EBITDA0.6x Average beats 61% 1.1x 0.5x ≈ In line
Interest cover27.4x Average beats 46% 50.0x 24.4x ▲ Better
Current ratio1.06 Average beats 54% 1.05 1.17 ≈ In line
Piotroski F-score9 / 9 Good beats 92% 7 / 9 – –
Valuation
P/E ratio34.4x Bad beats 8% 13.8x 36.0x ≈ In line
Price / book99.6x Bad beats 1% 2.2x 58.2x ▼ Worse
Price / sales15.9x Bad beats 10% 3.1x 15.8x ≈ In line
EV / EBITDA26.4x Bad beats 7% 10.8x 27.7x ≈ In line
Free cash flow yield3.0% Bad beats 13% 5.8% 2.9% ≈ In line
Cash flow
Free cash flow margin47.6% Good beats 85% 23.2% 48.4% ≈ In line
Cash from operations / net income1.07 Average beats 35% 1.25 1.13 ≈ In line
Free cash flow growth, 3 years a year+16.9% Average beats 57% +12.7% – –
Accruals (lower is better)−2.0% Good beats 71% −1.0% – –
Efficiency
Days sales outstanding53 days Average beats 50% 53 days 51 days ≈ In line
These ratings compare companies with each other and describe the past; they are not a forecast, a recommendation or part of the X-Ray Score. A factor is left out when its data is missing or meaningless (for example a P/E on negative earnings). A dash in the history columns means fewer than three usable years.

Fundamentals checklist

● 7 Good · ● 5 Average · ● 3 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashGood
Free-cash-flow yieldBad
Risk models
Altman Z''Good
Piotroski F-ScoreGood
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)Average
Revenue growth (3y)Good
Growth consistencyGood
Balance sheet
Current ratioAverage
Net debt / EBITDAAverage
Interest coverAverage
Valuation
Fair value vs priceBad
EBIT / EV yieldBad
Profitability
Return on invested capitalGood
Operating marginGood
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 59/100.

Financials

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$29.8B$22.2B$25.1B$28.2B$32.8B
Operating income$10.1B$12.3B$14.0B$15.6B$18.9B
Net income$8.7B$9.9B$11.2B$12.9B$15.0B
Operating cash flow$9.5B$11.2B$12.0B$14.8B$17.6B
Operating margin33.8%55.2%55.8%55.3%57.6%
Free cash flow$9.1B$10.8B$11.6B$14.3B$17.2B
Diluted EPS$8.76$10.22$11.83$13.89$16.52
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.

Technical summary

Daily
Bullish
12 bullish · 0 neutral · 4 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bullish
11 bullish · 0 neutral · 1 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bullish
7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10611.9Bullish
EMA 10611.1Bullish
SMA 20587.0Bullish
EMA 20596.8Bullish
SMA 50579.8Bullish
EMA 50578.8Bullish
SMA 100552.1Bullish
EMA 100561.4Bullish
SMA 200532.5Bullish
EMA 200547.7Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)79.69Bearish
MACD (12, 26)15.59Bullish
Momentum (12)11.93Bullish
Stochastic %K (14)99.90Bearish
Williams %R (14)-0.10Bearish
CCI (20)120.1Bearish
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
617.5
S2
620.7
S1
627.0
Pivot
630.1
R1
636.4
R2
639.5
R3
645.8
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.

Dividends

Paid, last 12 months
3.48 USD
Yield on today's price
0.55%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
0.8700
0.8700
0.8700
0.8700
0.7600
0.7600
0.7600
0.7600
0.6600
0.6600
0.6600
0.6600
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.

ETFs that hold MA

ETFShare of the fund
AKRE Akre Focus14.24%
SPHQ Invesco S&P 500 Quality5.76%
IYJ iShares U.S. Industrials5.54%
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR5.46%
VFH Vanguard Financials5.03%
USMC Principal U.S. Mega-Cap4.01%
PWB Invesco Dynamic Large Cap Growth3.98%
EAGL The 2023 ETF Series3.94%
The eight funds with the largest weight in MA among the ETFs we cover, from each fund's latest SEC Form N-PORT (quarter-end positions, so they can be months old). All ETFs.

MA stock splits

MA has split its stock once since 2014. The latest was a 10-for-1 split on 22 Jan 2014.

Full MA stock split history →

MA SEC filings

10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations
8-KSEC EDGAR
Shareholder vote results
8-KSEC EDGAR
Other events
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change
8-KSEC EDGAR
Director or officer change
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations

Where the numbers come from

Statements SEC EDGAR filings (10-K, 10-Q), quarters derived from year-to-date figures.
Prices end-of-day closes, split-adjusted.
Industry inputs beta, multiples and equity risk premium from Damodaran Online (NYU Stern).
Read the full methodology →

StocksXray is for education only and is not financial advice. Scores and fair values are model estimates from public filings and carry uncertainty.