Red flags⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution⚠ Heavy dilution
About Coinbase Global, Inc.
Crypto assets are what customers trade, store and use on the platform that Coinbase runs, and it serves customers in many countries. Retail customers use its apps to hold and trade digital currencies, while institutions use services for trading, custody and prime brokerage. It also offers staking, a subscription membership, a developer toolkit and a network built to support onchain applications. It also earns income linked to the USDC stablecoin.
Fees on trades made by customers are the main source of revenue, with subscription and services income from staking, custody and stablecoin-related activity on top. Revenue was $6.3 billion over the last twelve months and has grown at 31.0% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 9.9%, and the business earns 5% on the capital invested in it. Net debt is -2.6 times EBITDA. No dividend is paid. On the site's X-Ray Score it receives 38 out of 100.
52-wk range $139.11 – $373.25Volume 6,566,265Daily, split-adjusted
Vitals
Market cap$44.5B
52-week range$139.11 – $373.25
Volume (last day)6,566,265
P/E (TTM)–
EBIT / EV yield1.5%
Free-cash-flow yield–
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Revenue (TTM)$6.3B
Net income (TTM)−$948M
Operating margin9.9%
Return on capital4.5%
Debt incl. leases$6.5B
Cash & securities$8.8B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies that hold large long-term investments). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$167middle half of models $153 – $175
Fair−1.1% to fair value
Average of the 9 valuation models that pass our checks: multiples, discounted cash flow, dividend discount and earnings power value. A model more than 100% above or 60% below the price is left out as unrealistic. Model uncertainty is High, based on how far apart the models are. Undervalued or Overvalued means the gap to fair value is more than 17.5%.
Peak-cycle earnings: the current operating margin is more than 1.5x its 7-year average, so multiples applied to today's profit may overstate value; model uncertainty is set to High
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.13%, equity risk premium 4.30% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means
Weak business, fairly priced
The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.
Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.
The five-lens scan
Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Financials peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.
Strong: 70 to 100Fair: 50 to 69Weak: under 50No score: not enough data
ValuationWeak
17/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield1.5%
Fair value vs price1.0×
GrowthFair
63/100
Growing at a typical pace for its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)31.0%
Growth consistency70%
ProfitabilityWeak
29/100
Earns lower returns on its capital than most peers.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital4.5%
Operating margin9.9%
Financial healthFair
51/100
Balance sheet is in typical shape for its sector.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score4 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA-2.6×
Interest cover6.9×
DividendsNone
–/100
Pays no dividend.
See the numbers →
Quarterly results: last 6 quarters
+24.2%Mar '25
+3.3%Jun '25
+55.1%Sep '25
-21.6%Dec '25
-30.5%Mar '26
-18.5%Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $1.2B, diluted EPS $-1.36.
Other Financial Exchanges & Data companies by X-Ray Score.
SWOT analysis: Coinbase Global, Inc.
Strengthsinside the company
Revenue has grown 31.0% a year over three years (median 9.7% for industry peers).
Cash exceeds debt (net debt is negative), which gives room to invest or ride out a downturn.
Weaknessesinside the company
Return on invested capital is only 4.5% (median 15.8% for industry peers), so the business earns little above its cost of capital.
Operating margin of 9.9% is thin against 42.3% for industry peers.
Opportunitiesvaluation and setting
Our Market Compass rates the backdrop for Financials as favourable.
Threatsvaluation and setting
Revenue growth slowed to 9.4% last year from 31.0% a year over three years.
Valuation uncertainty is high: the models give widely different values, so the fair value range is wide.
Our checks raised: Heavy dilution; Heavy dilution.
Written by fixed rules from the figures on this page and the peer table below: filings, our fair value, the sector climate and the price trend. It summarises the data, it is not a forecast or advice.
Compare COIN with peers and sector
Medians of 8 Financial Exchanges & Data peers and of 70 Financials stocks in our universe.
Largest peers (X-Ray Score): SPGI48, CME42, ICE52, MCO61, NDAQ44, MSCI58.
Metric
COIN
Peers
Sector
X-Ray Score (out of 100)
38
55
50
Valuation
17
29
52
Growth
63
63
54
Profitability
29
64
49
Financial health
51
48
50
Dividends
–
54
54
Sector leaders: highest X-Ray Score in Financials
COIN ranks #58 of 71 in Financials and #9 of 9 in Financial Exchanges & Data by X-Ray Score. A higher score is stronger on our five pillars; it is a ranking of facts, not a forecast.
Green means better than the peer median, red worse (only where a higher or lower figure is clearly better). A dash means too few companies report the figure. P/E, EV/EBITDA and price changes are not graded: a different level is not good or bad by itself.
Factor ratings for COIN
Each factor is rated by where COIN stands among the 71 Financials stocks in our universe.
Rating against the sector
Goodthe top third of these stocks
Averagethe middle third of these stocks
Badthe bottom third of these stocks
"Beats" is the share of those stocks it is ahead of.
Against its own history
The last columns set today's figure against the company's own median of its last five financial years:
▲ Betterbetter than its usual level
▼ Worseworse than its usual level
≈ In linewithin its usual range
For valuation factors Good means cheaper than most of the sector and Better means cheaper than usual for this company, which is not the same as a bargain.
In total: 6 Good · 1 Average · 9 Bad of 16Growth: 2 · 0 · 0Profitability: 0 · 0 · 4Financial strength: 2 · 0 · 2Valuation: 0 · 0 · 3Cash flow: 1 · 1 · 0Efficiency: 1 · 0 · 0
Factor
COIN
Rating
Sector median
Own 5-year median
Against own history
Growth
Revenue growth, 3 years a year
+31.0%
Goodbeats 96%
+8.3%
–
–
Revenue growth, last year
+9.4%
Goodbeats 70%
+6.9%
+9.4%
≈ In line
Profitability
Operating margin
9.9%
Badbeats 9%
29.1%
20.0%
▼ Worse
Net margin
-15.1%
Badbeats 1%
21.8%
18.1%
▼ Worse
Return on invested capital
4.5%
Badbeats 9%
13.5%
–
–
Return on equity
-7.2%
Badbeats 1%
15.7%
8.8%
▼ Worse
Financial strength
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.6x
Goodbeats 95%
1.1x
-1.9x
▲ Better
Interest cover
6.9x
Badbeats 17%
50.0x
16.8x
▼ Worse
Current ratio
2.42
Goodbeats 98%
1.05
2.07
▲ Better
Piotroski F-score
4 / 9
Badbeats 11%
7 / 9
–
–
Valuation
Price / book
3.4x
Badbeats 26%
2.2x
6.6x
▲ Better
Price / sales
7.1x
Badbeats 18%
3.1x
9.0x
▲ Better
EV / EBITDA
48.4x
Badbeats 1%
10.8x
25.9x
▼ Worse
Cash flow
Free cash flow margin
27.3%
Averagebeats 59%
23.2%
33.8%
▼ Worse
Accruals (lower is better)
−10.1%
Goodbeats 99%
−1.0%
–
–
Efficiency
Days sales outstanding
19 days
Goodbeats 87%
53 days
18 days
≈ In line
These ratings compare companies with each other and describe the past; they are not a forecast, a recommendation or part of the X-Ray Score. A factor is left out when its data is missing or meaningless (for example a P/E on negative earnings). A dash in the history columns means fewer than three usable years.
Fundamentals checklist
● 5 Good · ● 0 Average · ● 7 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashGood
Risk models
Altman Z''Good
Piotroski F-ScoreBad
Growth
Revenue growth (3y)Good
Growth consistencyBad
Balance sheet
Current ratioGood
Net debt / EBITDAGood
Interest coverBad
Valuation
Fair value vs priceBad
EBIT / EV yieldBad
Profitability
Return on invested capitalBad
Operating marginBad
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 48/100.
Financials
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY25
Revenue
$7.8B
$3.2B
$3.1B
$6.6B
$7.2B
Operating income
$3.1B
−$2.7B
−$162M
$2.3B
$1.4B
Net income
$3.6B
−$2.6B
$100M
$2.6B
$1.3B
Operating cash flow
$4.0B
−$1.6B
$673M
$3.1B
$2.4B
Operating margin
39.2%
-84.8%
-5.2%
35.1%
20.0%
Free cash flow
$4.0B
−$1.6B
–
–
–
Diluted EPS
$14.50
$-11.83
$0.37
$9.48
$4.45
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.
Technical summary
Daily
Bearish
4 bullish · 1 neutral · 11 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bearish
2 bullish · 1 neutral · 9 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bearish
0 bullish · 1 neutral · 7 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10
175.7
Bearish
EMA 10
175.2
Bearish
SMA 20
180.8
Bearish
EMA 20
178.3
Bearish
SMA 50
179.3
Bearish
EMA 50
177.7
Bearish
SMA 100
169.0
Bullish
EMA 100
178.1
Bearish
SMA 200
180.9
Bearish
EMA 200
191.6
Bearish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)
43.90
Neutral
MACD (12, 26)
-2.72
Bearish
Momentum (12)
-8.96
Bearish
Stochastic %K (14)
12.19
Bullish
Williams %R (14)
-87.81
Bullish
CCI (20)
-112.5
Bullish
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
159.1
S2
162.9
S1
166.0
Pivot
169.8
R1
172.9
R2
176.7
R3
179.8
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.
The eight funds with the largest weight in COIN among the ETFs we cover, from each fund's latest SEC Form N-PORT (quarter-end positions, so they can be months old). All ETFs.