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Republic Services, Inc. (RSG)

Industrials · Environmental & Facilities Services · US stock · S&P 500 component
$241.90 ▲ +11.58 (5.03%)
At close · USD · Volume 1,382,744
Compare with WM
Fair valueFair
$201 −16.7% to fair value
$101fair band $171–$244$302
Day's range
$230.70 – $242.42
52-week range
$196.41 – $242.42

About Republic Services, Inc.

Waste is the business of Republic Services, which collects, transfers, recycles and disposes of non-hazardous solid waste in the United States. Households, businesses, industrial sites and local governments are its customers, and the company runs collection fleets, transfer stations, recycling centres and landfills. It also operates landfill gas and recycling facilities that produce energy and recovered materials.

Revenue comes mainly from collection and disposal fees under municipal contracts, commercial agreements and residential subscriptions. It reached $19.3 billion in the last twelve months and has grown at 6.7% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 17.4%, and the business earns a profit of 11% on the capital invested in it. It carries net debt of 2.7 times EBITDA. The company pays a dividend with a yield of 1.1%. On the site's X-Ray Score it receives 42 out of 100.

52-wk range $196.41 – $242.42Volume 1,382,744Daily, split-adjusted

Vitals

Market cap$74.4B
52-week range$196.41 – $242.42
Volume (last day)1,382,744
P/E (TTM)34.3
EBIT / EV yield3.8%
Free-cash-flow yield3.6%
Dividend yield1.1%
Revenue (TTM)$19.3B
Net income (TTM)$2.2B
Operating margin17.4%
Return on capital11.0%
Debt incl. leases$14.1B
Cash & securities$107M
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies that hold large long-term investments). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.

Fair value estimate

$201middle half of models $163 – $237
Fair −16.7% to fair value
Average of the 15 valuation models that pass our checks: multiples, discounted cash flow, dividend discount and earnings power value. A model more than 100% above or 60% below the price is left out as unrealistic. Model uncertainty is Medium, based on how far apart the models are. Undervalued or Overvalued means the gap to fair value is more than 17.5%.
Price $242
Undervalued < $171Fair $171 – $244Overvalued > $244
P/E multiple
$239
P/B multiple
$228
P/S multiple
$236
EV/EBITDA multiple
$248
EV/EBIT multiple
$227
EV/revenue multiple
$234
10-year DCF, EBITDA exit
$228
5-year DCF, EBITDA exit
$241
10-year DCF, revenue exit
$228
5-year DCF, revenue exit
$240
10-year DCF, growth exit
$127
5-year DCF, growth exit
$120
Dividend discount, stable
$99
Dividend discount, multi-stage
$174
Earnings power value
$152
Growth the price implies
17.5%/yr
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.13%, equity risk premium 4.30% (Damodaran). How it works.

What this means

Weak business, fairly priced

The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.

Before you invest · decision checklist

Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.

The five-lens scan

Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Industrials peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.

Strong: 70 to 100Fair: 50 to 69Weak: under 50No score: not enough data

Valuation Weak
24/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield3.8%
Free-cash-flow yield3.6%
Fair value vs price0.8×
Growth Fair
57/100
Growing at a typical pace for its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)6.7%
EPS growth (3y)13.5%
Growth consistency100%
Profitability Fair
58/100
Returns on capital are typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital11.0%
Operating margin17.4%
Gross profitability27.1%
Financial health Weak
24/100
Balance sheet is more stretched than most peers.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score6 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA2.7×
Interest cover5.7×
Dividends Fair
54/100
Dividend is typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield1.1%
Dividends vs free cash flow30%
Dividend growth7.6%

Quarterly results: last 6 quarters

+3.5%
Mar '25
+4.7%
Jun '25
+3.1%
Sep '25
+2.0%
Dec '25
+2.3%
Mar '26
+4.0%
Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $5.1B, diluted EPS $1.84.

Compare with peers

ROL Rollins Inc61 VLTO Veralto Corp55 WM Waste Management Inc53
Other Environmental & Facilities Services companies by X-Ray Score.

SWOT analysis: Republic Services, Inc.

Strengthsinside the company
  • Earnings per share have compounded at 13.5% a year over three years.
Weaknessesinside the company
  • Return on invested capital of 11.0% is well below the 23.4% median of industry peers.
Opportunitiesvaluation and setting
  • Dividends use only 30% of free cash flow, which leaves room to raise them.
  • Price momentum is strong on the weekly and monthly signals (trends can reverse).
Threatsvaluation and setting
  • No specific threat is flagged by our checks; general market and interest-rate risk still applies.
Written by fixed rules from the figures on this page and the peer table below: filings, our fair value, the sector climate and the price trend. It summarises the data, it is not a forecast or advice.

Compare RSG with peers and sector

Medians of 3 Environmental & Facilities Services peers and of 80 Industrials stocks in our universe. Largest peers (X-Ray Score): WM 53, VLTO 55, ROL 61.
MetricRSGPeersSector
X-Ray Score (out of 100)425551
Valuation245748
Growth567050
Profitability587150
Financial health244549
Dividends545153

Sector leaders: highest X-Ray Score in Industrials

RSG ranks #64 of 81 in Industrials and #4 of 4 in Environmental & Facilities Services by X-Ray Score. A higher score is stronger on our five pillars; it is a ranking of facts, not a forecast.
CompanyX-Ray Score
#1 GD General Dynamics Corp70
#2 EME EMCOR Group, Inc.69
#3 PAYX Paychex Inc69
#4 LDOS Leidos Holdings, Inc.67
#5 SNA Snap-on Inc66
…
#64 RSG Republic Services, Inc. (this stock)42
Green means better than the peer median, red worse (only where a higher or lower figure is clearly better). A dash means too few companies report the figure. P/E, EV/EBITDA and price changes are not graded: a different level is not good or bad by itself.

Factor ratings for RSG

Each factor is rated by where RSG stands among the 81 Industrials stocks in our universe.

Rating against the sector
Goodthe top third of these stocks
Averagethe middle third of these stocks
Badthe bottom third of these stocks
"Beats" is the share of those stocks it is ahead of.
Against its own history
The last columns set today's figure against the company's own median of its last five financial years:
▲ Betterbetter than its usual level
▼ Worseworse than its usual level
≈ In linewithin its usual range

For valuation factors Good means cheaper than most of the sector and Better means cheaper than usual for this company, which is not the same as a bargain.

In total: 6 Good · 10 Average · 7 Bad of 23 Growth: 1 · 2 · 0 Profitability: 1 · 3 · 1 Financial strength: 0 · 1 · 3 Valuation: 0 · 3 · 2 Cash flow: 2 · 1 · 1 Efficiency: 2 · 0 · 0
FactorRSGRatingSector medianOwn 5-year medianAgainst own history
Growth
Revenue growth, 3 years a year+6.7% Average beats 59% +5.6% – –
Revenue growth, last year+3.3% Average beats 41% +4.5% +10.4% ▼ Worse
EPS growth, 3 years a year+13.5% Good beats 70% +5.7% – –
Profitability
Gross margin49.3% Good beats 80% 38.0% 49.2% ≈ In line
Operating margin17.4% Average beats 49% 17.5% 16.1% ≈ In line
Net margin11.3% Average beats 46% 12.8% 10.0% ▲ Better
Return on invested capital11.0% Bad beats 29% 14.9% – –
Return on equity18.2% Average beats 42% 23.7% 16.4% ≈ In line
Financial strength
Net debt / EBITDA2.7x Bad beats 22% 1.8x 2.9x ≈ In line
Interest cover5.7x Bad beats 14% 21.4x 5.9x ≈ In line
Current ratio0.64 Bad beats 6% 1.25 0.64 ≈ In line
Piotroski F-score6 / 9 Average beats 41% 6 / 9 – –
Valuation
P/E ratio34.0x Bad beats 30% 28.9x 30.9x ▼ Worse
Price / book6.2x Average beats 51% 6.2x 5.0x ▼ Worse
Price / sales3.8x Average beats 43% 3.5x 3.3x ▼ Worse
EV / EBITDA16.9x Average beats 56% 18.5x 15.6x ≈ In line
Free cash flow yield3.6% Bad beats 33% 3.8% 3.6% ≈ In line
Cash flow
Free cash flow margin13.7% Average beats 49% 13.8% 11.3% ▲ Better
Cash from operations / net income2.08 Good beats 83% 1.39 2.09 ≈ In line
Free cash flow growth, 3 years a year+11.5% Bad beats 32% +14.5% – –
Accruals (lower is better)−6.7% Good beats 89% −3.2% – –
Efficiency
Inventory turnover85.2x Good beats 94% 4.0x 91.3x ≈ In line
Days sales outstanding38 days Good beats 80% 57 days 36 days ≈ In line
These ratings compare companies with each other and describe the past; they are not a forecast, a recommendation or part of the X-Ray Score. A factor is left out when its data is missing or meaningless (for example a P/E on negative earnings). A dash in the history columns means fewer than three usable years.

Fundamentals checklist

● 3 Good · ● 5 Average · ● 8 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashGood
Free-cash-flow yieldAverage
Risk models
Altman Z''Bad
Piotroski F-ScoreAverage
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Good
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)Bad
Revenue growth (3y)Average
Growth consistencyGood
Balance sheet
Current ratioBad
Net debt / EBITDABad
Interest coverBad
Valuation
Fair value vs priceBad
EBIT / EV yieldBad
Profitability
Return on invested capitalBad
Operating marginAverage
Gross profitabilityAverage
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 42/100.

Financials

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$13.3B$15.6B$17.3B$18.4B$19.0B
Operating income$2.1B$2.4B$2.8B$3.2B$3.3B
Net income$1.3B$1.5B$1.7B$2.0B$2.1B
Operating cash flow$2.8B$3.2B$3.6B$3.9B$4.3B
Operating margin15.6%15.3%16.1%17.4%17.4%
Free cash flow$1.5B$1.7B$2.0B$2.1B$2.4B
Diluted EPS$4.04$4.69$5.47$6.49$6.85
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.

Technical summary

Daily
Bullish
12 bullish · 0 neutral · 4 bearish
Weekly
Strongly bullish
11 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bullish
7 bullish · 1 neutral · 0 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10227.6Bullish
EMA 10228.9Bullish
SMA 20219.8Bullish
EMA 20224.0Bullish
SMA 50219.4Bullish
EMA 50219.7Bullish
SMA 100215.9Bullish
EMA 100217.2Bullish
SMA 200214.7Bullish
EMA 200216.3Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)75.76Bearish
MACD (12, 26)4.97Bullish
Momentum (12)12.65Bullish
Stochastic %K (14)98.49Bearish
Williams %R (14)-1.51Bearish
CCI (20)160.4Bearish
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
222.5
S2
226.6
S1
234.3
Pivot
238.3
R1
246.0
R2
250.1
R3
257.7
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.

Dividends

Paid, last 12 months
2.55 USD
Yield on today's price
1.05%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
0.6700
0.6250
0.6250
0.6250
0.6250
0.5800
0.5800
0.5800
0.5800
0.5350
0.5350
0.5350
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.

ETFs that hold RSG

ETFShare of the fund
IDU iShares U.S. Utilities2.59%
USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor1.22%
RSPN Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Industria...1.17%
SPLV Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility1.09%
ACWV iShares MSCI Global Min Vol Factor0.92%
XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR0.74%
VIS Vanguard Industrials0.62%
FIDU Fidelity MSCI Industrials Index0.60%
The eight funds with the largest weight in RSG among the ETFs we cover, from each fund's latest SEC Form N-PORT (quarter-end positions, so they can be months old). All ETFs.

RSG stock splits

RSG has split its stock once since 2007. The latest was a 3-for-2 split on 19 Mar 2007.

Full RSG stock split history →

RSG SEC filings

10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations; Regulation FD disclosure
8-KSEC EDGAR
Other events
8-KSEC EDGAR
Other events
8-KSEC EDGAR
Shareholder vote results
10-QSEC EDGAR
Quarterly report
8-KSEC EDGAR
Results of operations; Other events
DEF 14ASEC EDGAR
Proxy statement

Where the numbers come from

Statements SEC EDGAR filings (10-K, 10-Q), quarters derived from year-to-date figures.
Prices end-of-day closes, split-adjusted.
Industry inputs beta, multiples and equity risk premium from Damodaran Online (NYU Stern).
Read the full methodology →

StocksXray is for education only and is not financial advice. Scores and fair values are model estimates from public filings and carry uncertainty.