Southwest Airlines is a Dallas-based passenger airline that flies mainly short- and medium-haul routes across the United States and to nearby destinations in Mexico, the Caribbean and Central America. It operates a point-to-point route network rather than a hub-and-spoke one. Customers are leisure and business travellers who book through the airline's website, app and reservation centres, and it also earns income from cargo and a loyalty programme.
Revenue comes mainly from passenger fares, supplemented by cargo, loyalty programme and other income. It totals $30.1 billion over the last twelve months, growing at 5.6% a year across the last three years. The operating margin is 3.5%, and the business earns a profit of 9% on the capital invested in it. The airline carries net debt of 0.8 times EBITDA, and the dividend yield is 1.7%. On the site's X-Ray Score it receives 39 out of 100.
52-wk range $29.26 – $55.11Volume 12,246,040Daily, split-adjusted
Vitals
Market cap$20.7B
52-week range$29.26 – $55.11
Volume (last day)12,246,040
P/E (TTM)26.1
EBIT / EV yield4.6%
Free-cash-flow yield-2.2%
Dividend yield1.7%
Revenue (TTM)$30.1B
Net income (TTM)$837M
Operating margin3.5%
Return on capital8.8%
Debt incl. leases$5.9B
Cash & securities$3.8B
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies that hold large long-term investments). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$44middle half of models $34 – $55
Fair+3.8% to fair value
Average of the 14 valuation models that pass our checks: multiples, discounted cash flow, dividend discount and earnings power value. A model more than 100% above or 60% below the price is left out as unrealistic. Model uncertainty is High, based on how far apart the models are. Undervalued or Overvalued means the gap to fair value is more than 17.5%.
Price $42
Undervalued < $37Fair $37 – $53Overvalued > $53
P/E multiple
$46
P/B multiple
$37
P/S multiple
$78
EV/EBITDA multiple
$48
EV/EBIT multiple
$57
EV/revenue multiple
$65
10-year DCF, EBITDA exit
$24
5-year DCF, EBITDA exit
$35
10-year DCF, revenue exit
$25
5-year DCF, revenue exit
$36
10-year DCF, growth exit · not used
$11
5-year DCF, growth exit
$19
Dividend discount, stable
$36
Dividend discount, multi-stage
$71
Earnings power value
$34
Growth the price implies
14.9%/yr
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.13%, equity risk premium 4.30% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means
Weak business, fairly priced
The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.
Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.
The five-lens scan
Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Industrials peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.
Strong: 70 to 100Fair: 50 to 69Weak: under 50No score: not enough data
ValuationWeak
44/100
Expensive against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield4.6%
Free-cash-flow yield-2.2%
Fair value vs price1.0×
GrowthWeak
40/100
Growing slower than most of its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)5.6%
EPS growth (3y)-3.2%
Growth consistency90%
ProfitabilityWeak
28/100
Earns lower returns on its capital than most peers.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital8.8%
Operating margin3.5%
Financial healthWeak
45/100
Balance sheet is more stretched than most peers.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score8 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA0.8×
Interest cover5.2×
DividendsWeak
36/100
Dividend is modest or less certain than peers.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield1.7%
Quarterly results: last 6 quarters
+1.6%Mar '25
-1.5%Jun '25
+1.1%Sep '25
+7.4%Dec '25
+12.8%Mar '26
+16.4%Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $8.4B, diluted EPS $0.47.
Other Passenger Airlines companies by X-Ray Score.
SWOT analysis: Southwest Airlines Co
Strengthsinside the company
Passes 8 of the 9 Piotroski tests, which points to improving profitability, funding and efficiency.
Weaknessesinside the company
Return on invested capital of 8.8% is well below the 15.0% median of sector peers.
Operating margin of 3.5% is thin against 17.5% for sector peers.
Free cash flow is negative, so spending or debt has to be financed from outside.
Altman Z-score of 0.9 is in the zone linked with financial distress in past studies.
Opportunitiesvaluation and setting
No specific opportunity is visible in our valuation, sector or growth data.
Threatsvaluation and setting
Valuation uncertainty is high: the models give widely different values, so the fair value range is wide.
Earnings in Passenger Airlines follow the industry cycle, so margins and profits can swing from year to year.
Written by fixed rules from the figures on this page and the peer table below: filings, our fair value, the sector climate and the price trend. It summarises the data, it is not a forecast or advice.
Compare LUV with peers and sector
Medians of 80 Industrials peers and of 80 Industrials stocks in our universe.
Largest peers (X-Ray Score): CAT43, GE49, RTX51, GEV50, UNP45, DE43.
Metric
LUV
Peers
Sector
X-Ray Score (out of 100)
39
51
51
Valuation
44
48
48
Growth
40
51
51
Profitability
28
51
51
Financial health
45
49
49
Dividends
36
53
53
Sector leaders: highest X-Ray Score in Industrials
LUV ranks #69 of 81 in Industrials by X-Ray Score. A higher score is stronger on our five pillars; it is a ranking of facts, not a forecast.
Green means better than the peer median, red worse (only where a higher or lower figure is clearly better). A dash means too few companies report the figure. P/E, EV/EBITDA and price changes are not graded: a different level is not good or bad by itself.
Factor ratings for LUV
Each factor is rated by where LUV stands among the 81 Industrials stocks in our universe.
Rating against the sector
Goodthe top third of these stocks
Averagethe middle third of these stocks
Badthe bottom third of these stocks
"Beats" is the share of those stocks it is ahead of.
Against its own history
The last columns set today's figure against the company's own median of its last five financial years:
▲ Betterbetter than its usual level
▼ Worseworse than its usual level
≈ In linewithin its usual range
For valuation factors Good means cheaper than most of the sector and Better means cheaper than usual for this company, which is not the same as a bargain.
In total: 8 Good · 2 Average · 10 Bad of 20Growth: 0 · 1 · 2Profitability: 0 · 0 · 4Financial strength: 2 · 0 · 2Valuation: 3 · 1 · 1Cash flow: 2 · 0 · 1Efficiency: 1 · 0 · 0
Factor
LUV
Rating
Sector median
Own 5-year median
Against own history
Growth
Revenue growth, 3 years a year
+5.6%
Averagebeats 51%
+5.6%
–
–
Revenue growth, last year
+2.1%
Badbeats 32%
+4.5%
+9.6%
▼ Worse
EPS growth, 3 years a year
−3.2%
Badbeats 24%
+5.7%
–
–
Profitability
Operating margin
3.5%
Badbeats 2%
17.5%
1.5%
▲ Better
Net margin
2.8%
Badbeats 7%
12.8%
1.8%
▲ Better
Return on invested capital
8.8%
Badbeats 18%
14.9%
–
–
Return on equity
11.8%
Badbeats 20%
23.7%
5.0%
▲ Better
Financial strength
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Goodbeats 78%
1.8x
-1.6x
▼ Worse
Interest cover
5.2x
Badbeats 11%
21.4x
1.9x
▲ Better
Current ratio
0.49
Badbeats 2%
1.25
1.14
▼ Worse
Piotroski F-score
8 / 9
Goodbeats 86%
6 / 9
–
–
Valuation
P/E ratio
24.8x
Averagebeats 65%
28.9x
40.1x
▲ Better
Price / book
2.9x
Goodbeats 84%
6.2x
2.1x
▼ Worse
Price / sales
0.7x
Goodbeats 98%
3.5x
0.8x
≈ In line
EV / EBITDA
8.8x
Goodbeats 96%
18.5x
8.6x
≈ In line
Free cash flow yield
-2.2%
Badbeats 1%
3.8%
-1.9%
≈ In line
Cash flow
Free cash flow margin
-1.5%
Badbeats 1%
13.8%
-1.4%
≈ In line
Cash from operations / net income
3.02
Goodbeats 97%
1.39
4.18
▼ Worse
Accruals (lower is better)
−5.6%
Goodbeats 79%
−3.2%
–
–
Efficiency
Days sales outstanding
1 days
Goodbeats 99%
57 days
1 days
≈ In line
These ratings compare companies with each other and describe the past; they are not a forecast, a recommendation or part of the X-Ray Score. A factor is left out when its data is missing or meaningless (for example a P/E on negative earnings). A dash in the history columns means fewer than three usable years.
Fundamentals checklist
● 4 Good · ● 3 Average · ● 7 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashGood
Free-cash-flow yieldBad
Risk models
Altman Z''Bad
Piotroski F-ScoreGood
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Bad
Revenue growth (3y)Average
Growth consistencyAverage
Balance sheet
Current ratioBad
Net debt / EBITDAGood
Interest coverBad
Valuation
Fair value vs priceGood
EBIT / EV yieldAverage
Profitability
Return on invested capitalBad
Operating marginBad
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 36/100.
Financials
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY25
Revenue
$15.8B
$23.8B
$26.1B
$27.5B
$28.1B
Operating income
$1.7B
$1.0B
$224M
$321M
$428M
Net income
$977M
$539M
$465M
$465M
$441M
Operating cash flow
$2.3B
$3.8B
$3.2B
$462M
$1.8B
Operating margin
10.9%
4.3%
0.9%
1.2%
1.5%
Free cash flow
$1.8B
−$134M
−$356M
−$1.6B
−$831M
Diluted EPS
$1.61
$0.87
$0.76
$0.76
$0.79
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.
Technical summary
Daily
Neutral
7 bullish · 4 neutral · 5 bearish
Weekly
Neutral
6 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bullish
6 bullish · 1 neutral · 1 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10
40.31
Bullish
EMA 10
40.51
Bullish
SMA 20
41.17
Bullish
EMA 20
40.72
Bullish
SMA 50
40.66
Bullish
EMA 50
41.42
Bullish
SMA 100
43.71
Bearish
EMA 100
42.08
Bearish
SMA 200
43.15
Bearish
EMA 200
41.37
Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)
55.72
Neutral
MACD (12, 26)
-0.27
Bearish
Momentum (12)
-0.99
Bearish
Stochastic %K (14)
75.75
Neutral
Williams %R (14)
-24.25
Neutral
CCI (20)
-18.36
Neutral
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
36.33
S2
37.49
S1
39.76
Pivot
40.92
R1
43.19
R2
44.35
R3
46.62
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.
Dividends
Paid, last 12 months
0.72 USD
Yield on today's price
1.71%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
Not announced
Ex-dividend date
Amount per share
0.1800
0.1800
0.1800
0.1800
0.1800
0.1800
0.1800
0.1800
0.1800
0.1800
0.1800
0.1800
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.
The eight funds with the largest weight in LUV among the ETFs we cover, from each fund's latest SEC Form N-PORT (quarter-end positions, so they can be months old). All ETFs.
LUV stock splits
LUV has split its stock 7 times since 1990. The latest was a 3-for-2 split on 16 Feb 2001.