A. O. Smith makes water heaters and water treatment products for homes and businesses, selling in North America, China, India and other regions. Its products reach customers through plumbing wholesalers, retailers, contractors and online channels. Revenue comes from product sales, with a large share from replacement of existing heaters, and results depend on housing activity, material costs and energy efficiency rules.
Revenue at Smith A O Corp was $3.8 billion across the last twelve months. Across three years, sales expanded by 0.7% a year. Operating profit was 17.5% of revenue. It earned a return on invested capital of 22%. Debt after cash comes to 0.6 times EBITDA. Shareholders receive a dividend yielding 2.3%. On the site's X-Ray Score, it rates 65 out of 100.
52-wk range $54.16 – $81.87Volume 1,900,873Daily, split-adjusted
Vitals
Market cap$8.6B
52-week range$54.16 – $81.87
Volume (last day)1,900,873
P/E (TTM)17.5
EBIT / EV yield7.3%
Free-cash-flow yield7.4%
Dividend yield2.3%
Revenue (TTM)$3.8B
Net income (TTM)$500M
Operating margin17.5%
Return on capital22.5%
Debt incl. leases$638M
Cash & securities$181M
Debt = borrowings plus lease liabilities. Cash & securities = cash, equivalents and short-term marketable securities (long-term securities are not counted, so net cash can be understated for companies that hold large long-term investments). Net debt = debt minus cash & securities. Source: latest SEC 10-Q/10-K. EBIT / EV yield = operating profit divided by market cap plus net debt.
Fair value estimate
$64middle half of models $63 – $68
Fair+2.4% to fair value
Average of the 15 valuation models that pass our checks: multiples, discounted cash flow, dividend discount and earnings power value. A model more than 100% above or 60% below the price is left out as unrealistic. Model uncertainty is Medium, based on how far apart the models are. Undervalued or Overvalued means the gap to fair value is more than 17.5%.
Price $62
Undervalued < $54Fair $54 – $78Overvalued > $78
P/E multiple
$64
P/B multiple
$69
P/S multiple
$68
EV/EBITDA multiple
$68
EV/EBIT multiple
$68
EV/revenue multiple
$66
10-year DCF, EBITDA exit
$67
5-year DCF, EBITDA exit
$66
10-year DCF, revenue exit
$67
5-year DCF, revenue exit
$66
10-year DCF, growth exit
$61
5-year DCF, growth exit
$58
Dividend discount, stable
$42
Dividend discount, multi-stage
$49
Earnings power value
$79
Growth the price implies
7.2%/yr
A model estimate, not a price target or recommendation. Inputs: risk-free 5.13%, equity risk premium 4.30% (Damodaran). How it works.
What this means
Average business, fairly priced
The price sits inside our fair-value band. A high score does not guarantee a good outcome; it shifts the odds a little. Use the checklist as a prompt for your own research.
Before you invest · decision checklist
Ticked boxes are filled in from our data; the rest are yours to answer.
The five-lens scan
Every score explained in one sentence, ranked against Industrials peers. Open a lens to see the numbers behind it.
Strong: 70 to 100Fair: 50 to 69Weak: under 50No score: not enough data
ValuationStrong
80/100
Cheap against its sector on earnings and cash flow.
See the numbers →
EBIT / EV yield7.3%
Free-cash-flow yield7.4%
Fair value vs price1.0×
GrowthWeak
42/100
Growing slower than most of its sector.
See the numbers →
Revenue growth (3y)0.7%
EPS growth (3y)36.6%
Growth consistency40%
ProfitabilityFair
60/100
Returns on capital are typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Return on invested capital22.5%
Operating margin17.5%
Gross profitability40.3%
Financial healthStrong
79/100
Balance sheet looks strong: debt is well covered.
See the numbers →
Piotroski F-Score8 / 9
Net debt / EBITDA0.6×
Interest cover31.4×
DividendsFair
60/100
Dividend is typical for its sector.
See the numbers →
Dividend yield2.3%
Dividends vs free cash flow31%
Dividend growth3.4%
Quarterly results: last 6 quarters
-1.5%Mar '25
-1.3%Jun '25
+4.4%Sep '25
+0.0%Dec '25
-1.9%Mar '26
-0.7%Jun '26
Revenue against the same quarter a year earlier. Latest quarter revenue $1.0B, diluted EPS $0.91.
Return on invested capital is 22.5%, against a median of 21.6% for industry peers.
Earnings per share have compounded at 36.6% a year over three years.
Free cash flow equals 7.4% of the market value, which funds dividends, buybacks or debt paydown.
Operating profit covers interest 31x, so debt costs are a small drag.
Weaknessesinside the company
No clear weakness in the figures we track.
Opportunitiesvaluation and setting
Dividends use only 31% of free cash flow, which leaves room to raise them.
Trades at 17.2x earnings, 28% below the 24.0x median of industry peers.
Threatsvaluation and setting
No specific threat is flagged by our checks; general market and interest-rate risk still applies.
Written by fixed rules from the figures on this page and the peer table below: filings, our fair value, the sector climate and the price trend. It summarises the data, it is not a forecast or advice.
Compare AOS with peers and sector
Medians of 6 Building Products peers and of 80 Industrials stocks in our universe.
Largest peers (X-Ray Score): TT56, JCI31, CARR27, MAS53, ALLE59, LII59.
Metric
AOS
Peers
Sector
X-Ray Score (out of 100)
65
55
50
Valuation
80
44
44
Growth
42
50
51
Profitability
60
60
50
Financial health
79
47
49
Dividends
60
51
53
Sector leaders: highest X-Ray Score in Industrials
AOS ranks #7 of 81 in Industrials and #1 of 7 in Building Products by X-Ray Score. A higher score is stronger on our five pillars; it is a ranking of facts, not a forecast.
Green means better than the peer median, red worse (only where a higher or lower figure is clearly better). A dash means too few companies report the figure. P/E, EV/EBITDA and price changes are not graded: a different level is not good or bad by itself.
Factor ratings for AOS
Each factor is rated by where AOS stands among the 81 Industrials stocks in our universe.
Rating against the sector
Goodthe top third of these stocks
Averagethe middle third of these stocks
Badthe bottom third of these stocks
"Beats" is the share of those stocks it is ahead of.
Against its own history
The last columns set today's figure against the company's own median of its last five financial years:
▲ Betterbetter than its usual level
▼ Worseworse than its usual level
≈ In linewithin its usual range
For valuation factors Good means cheaper than most of the sector and Better means cheaper than usual for this company, which is not the same as a bargain.
In total: 10 Good · 11 Average · 2 Bad of 23Growth: 1 · 0 · 2Profitability: 1 · 4 · 0Financial strength: 3 · 1 · 0Valuation: 3 · 2 · 0Cash flow: 1 · 3 · 0Efficiency: 1 · 1 · 0
Factor
AOS
Rating
Sector median
Own 5-year median
Against own history
Growth
Revenue growth, 3 years a year
+0.7%
Badbeats 24%
+5.6%
–
–
Revenue growth, last year
+0.3%
Badbeats 18%
+4.5%
+2.6%
▼ Worse
EPS growth, 3 years a year
+36.6%
Goodbeats 91%
+5.7%
–
–
Profitability
Gross margin
38.6%
Averagebeats 54%
38.0%
38.1%
≈ In line
Operating margin
17.5%
Averagebeats 50%
17.5%
19.0%
≈ In line
Net margin
13.1%
Averagebeats 52%
12.8%
14.0%
≈ In line
Return on invested capital
22.5%
Goodbeats 69%
14.9%
–
–
Return on equity
27.2%
Averagebeats 58%
23.7%
28.3%
≈ In line
Financial strength
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6x
Goodbeats 89%
1.8x
-0.3x
▼ Worse
Interest cover
31.4x
Averagebeats 54%
21.4x
50.0x
▼ Worse
Current ratio
1.59
Goodbeats 71%
1.25
1.57
≈ In line
Piotroski F-score
8 / 9
Goodbeats 86%
6 / 9
–
–
Valuation
P/E ratio
17.2x
Goodbeats 88%
28.9x
22.4x
▲ Better
Price / book
4.7x
Averagebeats 64%
6.2x
5.3x
▲ Better
Price / sales
2.3x
Averagebeats 66%
3.5x
2.6x
▲ Better
EV / EBITDA
12.0x
Goodbeats 87%
18.5x
14.8x
▲ Better
Free cash flow yield
7.4%
Goodbeats 94%
3.8%
4.7%
▲ Better
Cash flow
Free cash flow margin
16.8%
Averagebeats 65%
13.8%
14.3%
▲ Better
Cash from operations / net income
1.38
Averagebeats 49%
1.39
1.20
▲ Better
Free cash flow growth, 3 years a year
+19.4%
Averagebeats 63%
+14.5%
–
–
Accruals (lower is better)
−5.3%
Goodbeats 74%
−3.2%
–
–
Efficiency
Inventory turnover
4.8x
Goodbeats 70%
4.0x
4.8x
≈ In line
Days sales outstanding
64 days
Averagebeats 36%
57 days
56 days
▼ Worse
These ratings compare companies with each other and describe the past; they are not a forecast, a recommendation or part of the X-Ray Score. A factor is left out when its data is missing or meaningless (for example a P/E on negative earnings). A dash in the history columns means fewer than three usable years.
Fundamentals checklist
● 10 Good · ● 4 Average · ● 2 Bad
Cash quality
Earnings backed by cashGood
Free-cash-flow yieldGood
Risk models
Altman Z''Good
Piotroski F-ScoreGood
Growth
EPS growth (3y)Good
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)Average
Revenue growth (3y)Bad
Growth consistencyBad
Balance sheet
Current ratioGood
Net debt / EBITDAGood
Interest coverAverage
Valuation
Fair value vs priceAverage
EBIT / EV yieldGood
Profitability
Return on invested capitalGood
Operating marginAverage
Gross profitabilityGood
Each check is graded against the company's sector, not a fixed number. Checklist score 69/100.
Financials
FY21
FY22
FY23
FY24
FY25
Revenue
$3.5B
$3.8B
$3.9B
$3.8B
$3.8B
Operating income
$682M
$362M
$746M
$708M
$729M
Net income
$487M
$236M
$557M
$534M
$546M
Operating cash flow
$641M
$391M
$670M
$582M
$617M
Operating margin
19.3%
9.6%
19.3%
18.5%
19.0%
Free cash flow
$566M
$321M
$598M
$474M
$546M
Diluted EPS
$3.02
$1.51
$3.69
$3.63
$3.85
Fiscal years, from SEC filings.
Technical summary
Daily
Bullish
11 bullish · 1 neutral · 4 bearish
Weekly
Neutral
5 bullish · 1 neutral · 6 bearish
Monthly
Strongly bearish
1 bullish · 1 neutral · 6 bearish
Moving averages (daily)
SMA 10
58.77
Bullish
EMA 10
59.24
Bullish
SMA 20
57.92
Bullish
EMA 20
58.55
Bullish
SMA 50
58.98
Bullish
EMA 50
58.79
Bullish
SMA 100
59.49
Bullish
EMA 100
59.81
Bullish
SMA 200
63.21
Bearish
EMA 200
61.81
Bullish
Oscillators (daily)
RSI (14)
69.84
Neutral
MACD (12, 26)
0.51
Bullish
Momentum (12)
9.79
Bullish
Stochastic %K (14)
98.26
Bearish
Williams %R (14)
-1.74
Bearish
CCI (20)
200.0
Bearish
Pivot points (classic, last session)
S3
56.89
S2
58.06
S1
60.27
Pivot
61.44
R1
63.64
R2
64.81
R3
67.02
Signals describe what the chart is doing, not what to do. Moving averages: price above the average is bullish. Oscillators use the usual thresholds (RSI 30/70, Stochastic 20/80, CCI ±100, Williams %R −80/−20; MACD and momentum above zero are bullish). Weekly and monthly views use closing prices only.
Dividends
Paid, last 12 months
1.44 USD
Yield on today's price
2.31%
Frequency
Quarterly
Next ex-dividend date
30 Oct 2026
Ex-dividend date
Amount per share
(upcoming)
0.3800
0.3600
0.3600
0.3600
0.3600
0.3400
0.3400
0.3400
0.3400
0.3200
0.3200
0.3200
Ex-dividend dates and amounts from EODHD. Shown as declared, before tax.
The eight funds with the largest weight in AOS among the ETFs we cover, from each fund's latest SEC Form N-PORT (quarter-end positions, so they can be months old). All ETFs.
AOS stock splits
AOS has split its stock 5 times since 1993. The latest was a 2-for-1 split on 6 Oct 2016.