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XStocksXray
Research report · 22 October 2026

Nvr Inc (NVR)

Consumer Discretionary · Homebuilding · US stock · price as of 22 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$6,110.63
52-week range$5,501.01 – $8,200.00
Market cap$17.2B
P/E (trailing)15.9×
EV / EBITDA–
Free-cash-flow yield6.1%
Dividend yield–
Revenue (last 12 months)$9.5B
Revenue growth (3y a year)−0.6%
Operating margin–
Return on invested capital–
Net debt / EBITDA–

Fair value

Fair value (average of valid models)$6,209.37 middle half of models $6,127 – $6,251
Versus priceFair+2% to fair value
P/E multiple$6,117.03
P/B multiple$6,383.52
P/S multiple$6,206.68
EV/revenue multiple$6,130.26
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

25/ 100 · Low confidence · ahead of 0% of sector peers
Valuation46
Growth16
Profitability10
Financial health–
Dividends–

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

3,2955,0466,7978,54810,300Fair value $6,2092021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

NVR is a homebuilder that builds and markets houses and townhomes under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes and Heartland Homes names, and it also runs a mortgage banking business. Its homes are built in the mid-Atlantic, North East, Midwest and Southeast regions of the United States. The company relies on controlling land through purchase options rather than owning large amounts of land outright. Its customers are first-time and move-up households.

NVR earns its revenue mostly from the homes it builds and delivers, with a smaller contribution from mortgage banking. Revenue was $9.5 billion over the last twelve months, and it has changed at -0.6% a year across the last three years, which is almost flat. No dividend is paid. Margin, return and net debt measures are not available on the site for this company.

StocksXray gives Nvr Inc an X-Ray Score of 25 out of 100 (low confidence), ahead of 0% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is valuation (46) and its weakest is profitability (10).

Our fair value (the average of the valid models) is $6,209.37 (range $6,126.96 to $6,250.89). At $6,110.63 the stock trades 2% below that value, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

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Nvr Inc (NVR)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$5,908.87$4,612.58$7,000.45$8,178.90$7,292.77$6,110.63
Market cap$22.8B$16.2B$24.0B$27.1B$22.4B$17.2B
P/E18.4×9.4×15.1×16.1×16.7×15.9×
EV / revenue2.3×1.3×2.2×2.3×2.0×1.7×
EV / EBITDA––––––
Price / free cash flow18.6×8.7×16.3×20.2×20.4×16.4×
Free-cash-flow yield5.4%11.4%6.1%5.0%4.9%6.1%
Price / book7.6×4.6×5.5×6.4×5.8×5.1×
Dividend yield––––––

Fundamentals checklist ● 0 Good · ● 3 Average · ● 4 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash1.4%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield6.1%Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)−3.9%Average
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)−16.0%Bad
Revenue growth (3y)−0.6%Bad
Growth consistency50%Bad

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.0×Average
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Nvr Inc (NVR)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue8,95110,5269,51810,52410,3249,530
Gross profit––––––
Operating income––––––
Net income1,2371,7261,5921,6821,3401,141
Diluted EPS ($)320.48491.82463.31506.69436.55384.81
Free cash flow1,2251,8521,4731,3451,0971,046
Gross margin––––––
Operating margin––––––
Net margin13.8%16.4%16.7%16.0%13.0%12.0%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets5,8345,6616,6026,3815,8575,471
Cash2,6372,5753,2152,6651,9571,197
Total debt––––––
Equity3,0023,5074,3654,2103,8653,391
Dividend per share ($)––––––

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%6%11%17%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)2,4032,5992,6102,7131,8812,326
Growth vs a year earlier+3.0%−0.5%−4.5%−4.7%−21.7%−10.5%
Net income ($M)300334343364198236
Diluted EPS ($)94.83108.54112.33–67.7683.96
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Nvr Inc (NVR)

Peers in Homebuilding

CompanyX-Ray
NVR · Nvr Inc25
DHI · Horton D R Inc43
LEN · Lennar Corp33
PHM · Pultegroup Inc26

Market Compass outlook for Consumer Discretionary: Neutral (51/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+2.9%
1 month−3.6%
3 months−3.8%
6 months−7.6%
1 year−20.6%
3 years+11.3%
5 years+25.3%

Technical summary

DailyBearish5 bullish · 2 neutral · 9 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 1 neutral · 11 bearish
MonthlyStrongly bearish0 bullish · 1 neutral · 7 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$6,168.73 / $6,587.80
52-week low / high$5,501.01 / $8,200.00
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 5,424.36 · S1 5,767.50 · P – · R1 6,286.27 · R2 6,461.90
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Nvr Inc (NVR)

Strengths

No check stands out as a clear strength against its sector.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (1.4%).
  • Free-cash-flow growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−16.0%).
  • Revenue growth (3y) is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (−0.6%).
  • Growth consistency is weak against Consumer Discretionary peers (50%).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
22 Oct 20268-K2.02,9.01
5 Aug 202610-Q
23 Jul 20268-K2.02,9.01
15 May 20268-K5.02,9.01
8 May 20268-K5.07,9.01
6 May 202610-Q
22 Apr 20268-K2.02,9.01
17 Mar 2026DEF 14A

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value is the average of up to 15 valuation models, most of them anchored to the company's own multiples, so it stays near the price and should be read as a range, not a point. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 23 Oct 2026