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XStocksXray
Research report · 22 October 2026

TransDigm Group INC (TDG)

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · US stock · price as of 22 Oct 2026

Key indicators

Price$1,141.74
52-week range$1,071.25 – $1,463.03
Market cap$65.5B
P/E (trailing)31.1×
EV / EBITDA19.0×
Free-cash-flow yield2.9%
Dividend yield8.1%
Revenue (last 12 months)$10.0B
Revenue growth (3y a year)17.6%
Operating margin46.0%
Return on invested capital17.8%
Net debt / EBITDA6.0×

Fair value

Fair value (average of valid models)$1,311.07 middle half of models $1,066 – $1,670
Versus priceFair+15% to fair value
P/E multiple$1,196.49
P/S multiple$1,082.35
EV/EBITDA multiple$1,186.19
EV/EBIT multiple$1,287.13
EV/revenue multiple$1,016.24
10-year DCF, EBITDA exit$1,805.71
5-year DCF, EBITDA exit$1,728.13
10-year DCF, revenue exit$1,744.72
5-year DCF, revenue exit$1,651.26
10-year DCF, growth exit$1,140.39
5-year DCF, growth exit$980.11
Earnings power value$914.15
Model uncertaintyMedium

X-Ray Score

57/ 100 · High confidence · ahead of 73% of sector peers
Valuation61
Growth85
Profitability45
Financial health39
Dividends54

Five-year price chart navy: price · brown: 200-day average · blue band: fair value range

3506991,0481,3961,745Fair value $1,3112021-102023-012024-042025-072026-10

Executive summary

TransDigm designs and makes specialised components for commercial and military aircraft, including actuators, sensors, ignition systems and cockpit parts. Many of its products are proprietary and sole-source, and they are sold to aircraft manufacturers and to airlines and operators needing replacement parts. A large share of revenue comes from the aftermarket. The company also grows by acquiring smaller aerospace businesses and funds many of those deals with borrowed money.

The company reported trailing revenue of $10.0 billion and three-year growth of 17.6% a year. Profitability figures show an operating margin of 46.0% and a return on invested capital of 18%. Its net debt to EBITDA ratio stands at 6.0 times. The dividend yield is 8.1%. The figures are a snapshot of reported results rather than a forecast.

StocksXray gives TransDigm Group INC an X-Ray Score of 57 out of 100 (high confidence), ahead of 73% of the S&P 500 stocks in its sector. Its strongest lens is growth (85) and its weakest is financial health (39).

Our fair value (the average of the valid models) is $1,311.07 (range $1,065.82 to $1,670.48). At $1,141.74 the stock trades 13% below that value, so the label is "Fair" with medium model uncertainty. Fair value is a range, not a price target.

stocksxray.com · page 1
XStocksXray
TransDigm Group INC (TDG)

Valuation history multiples at each fiscal year-end price; the last column uses today's price and the last twelve months

FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025Now
Price$516.53$446.39$717.12$1,258.48$1,318.02$1,141.74
Market cap$30.2B$26.0B$41.0B$72.7B$76.7B$65.5B
P/E49.6×33.3×32.6×49.1×41.1×31.1×
EV / revenue9.4×7.8×8.6×11.4×11.7×9.5×
EV / EBITDA23.2×17.2×17.8×23.6×22.8×19.0×
Price / free cash flow37.3×31.3×33.2×38.7×42.2×34.0×
Free-cash-flow yield2.7%3.2%3.0%2.6%2.4%2.9%
Price / book––––––
Dividend yield–4.14%–––8.08%

Fundamentals checklist ● 8 Good · ● 4 Average · ● 4 Bad · each check graded against the sector

Cash quality

Earnings backed by cash−0.3%Bad
Free-cash-flow yield2.9%Bad

Risk models

Altman Z score1.0×Bad
Piotroski F-Score6 of 9Average

Growth

EPS growth (3y)33.8%Good
Free-cash-flow growth (3y)29.9%Good
Revenue growth (3y)17.6%Good
Growth consistency100%Good

Balance sheet

Current ratio3.0×Good
Net debt / EBITDA6.0×Bad
Interest coverno interest costGood

Valuation

Fair value vs price1.1×Good
EBIT / EV yield4.8%Average

Profitability

Return on invested capital17.8%Average
Operating margin46.0%Good
Gross profitability22.3%Average

Red flags

  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
  • Dividend may be at risk — Dividends exceed free cash flow
  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
  • Dividend may be at risk — Dividends exceed free cash flow
  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
  • Dividend may be at risk — Dividends exceed free cash flow
  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
  • Dividend may be at risk — Dividends exceed free cash flow
  • Negative equity — Book equity is negative
  • Dividend may be at risk — Dividends exceed free cash flow
stocksxray.com · page 2
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TransDigm Group INC (TDG)

Financials US$ millions, from SEC filings; last column is the last twelve months

Income statementFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Revenue4,7985,4296,5857,9408,83110,007
Gross profit2,5133,0993,8424,6725,3115,961
Operating income1,6912,2152,9233,5314,1654,608
Net income6808661,2981,7142,0742,129
Diluted EPS ($)10.4113.4022.0325.6232.0836.71
Free cash flow8088291,2361,8801,8161,927
Gross margin52.4%57.1%58.3%58.8%60.1%59.6%
Operating margin35.2%40.8%44.4%44.5%47.2%46.0%
Net margin14.2%16.0%19.7%21.6%23.5%21.3%
Balance sheetFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25LTM
Total assets19,31518,10719,97025,58622,90926,754
Cash4,7873,0013,4726,2612,8082,773
Total debt19,64919,44519,40124,39429,29132,760
Equity-2,916-3,773-1,984-6,290-9,686-9,809
Dividend per share ($)0.0018.500.00–––

Revenue and net income US$ billions: navy revenue, teal net income

FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Margins blue gross, teal operating, brown net

0%20%40%60%FY21FY22FY23FY24FY25

Latest quarters

Mar 2025Jun 2025Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026
Revenue ($M)2,1502,2372,4372,2852,5442,741
Growth vs a year earlier+12.0%+9.3%+11.5%+13.9%+18.3%+22.5%
Net income ($M)479492610445535539
Diluted EPS ($)8.248.47–6.629.209.39
stocksxray.com · page 3
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TransDigm Group INC (TDG)

Peers in Aerospace & Defense

CompanyX-Ray
TDG · TransDigm Group INC57
GD · General Dynamics Corp70
TXT · Textron Inc65
LHX · L3harris Technologies, Inc...60
LMT · Lockheed Martin Corp55

Market Compass outlook for Industrials: Neutral (38/100). It blends regime history, macro sensitivity, momentum and valuation.

Returns

1 week+0.7%
1 month+2.6%
3 months−4.4%
6 months−3.9%
1 year−13.1%
3 years+63.2%
5 years+113.0%

Technical summary

DailyNeutral7 bullish · 4 neutral · 5 bearish
WeeklyStrongly bearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 9 bearish
MonthlyBearish2 bullish · 1 neutral · 5 bearish
50-day / 200-day average$1,140.34 / $1,233.84
52-week low / high$1,071.25 / $1,463.03
Classic pivot, support and resistanceS2 1,091.32 · S1 1,116.53 · P – · R1 1,155.68 · R2 1,169.62

Recent dividends

Ex-dividend dateAmount per share
2 Sep 2025$90.0000
4 Oct 2024$75.0000
17 Nov 2023$35.0000
18 Aug 2022$18.5000
27 Dec 2019$32.5000
15 Aug 2019$30.0000
stocksxray.com · page 4
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TransDigm Group INC (TDG)

Strengths

  • Operating margin of 46.0% is ahead of 99% of its sector peers.
  • Revenue growth of 17.6% a year over three years is ahead of 91% of its sector peers.
  • Interest cover of no interest cost is ahead of 76% of its sector peers.
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9: most of the nine accounting health tests pass.

Risks and weak spots

  • Earnings backed by cash is weak against Industrials peers (−0.3%).
  • Free-cash-flow yield is weak against Industrials peers (2.9%).
  • Altman Z score is weak against Industrials peers (1.0×).
  • Net debt / EBITDA is weak against Industrials peers (6.0×).
  • The Altman Z score of 1.0× is in the distress zone.
  • Red flag: Negative equity (Book equity is negative).
  • Red flag: Dividend may be at risk (Dividends exceed free cash flow).
  • Red flag: Negative equity (Book equity is negative).

Latest SEC filings

DateFormItems
29 Sep 20268-K1.01,2.03,9.01
28 Sep 20268-K8.01,9.01
21 Sep 20268-K8.01
14 Sep 20268-K7.01
14 Sep 20268-K7.01
14 Sep 20268-K7.01
4 Aug 202610-Q
4 Aug 20268-K2.02,9.01

How to read this report

Every number comes from SEC filings, end-of-day prices and the StocksXray models described on the methodology page. The X-Ray Score ranks each metric against the company's own sector. Fair value is the average of up to 15 valuation models, most of them anchored to the company's own multiples, so it stays near the price and should be read as a range, not a point. Analyst ratings, price targets and earnings-call summaries are not part of this report. Educational research, not financial advice; read the disclaimer.

stocksxray.com · page 5 · generated 23 Oct 2026